NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	80		Excitement	7.6 [319]		MVP	Julian Wright (NOH): +7.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	85		Comeback	1.4 [793]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOH): -21.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Wright	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	22	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.06
Antonio Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Ryan Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	13	28%	-0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.14	-0.06	0.02	17	24%	-0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	51%	0.07	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	0.03	17	52%	0.10	6	-0.19	8	87%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	14	44%	0.00	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	29.8	15.6	24.5	2.6	41.2	143.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +46.5%

NOH -16.1%

MEM +58.1%

NOH -39.7%

MEM +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.5	87.9	95.5	106.4
season	16.6	16.1		105.9	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.7	14.7	18.9	16.9	16.5
MEM	15.6	17.4	13.8	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	18	16	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-8	11	13.6	17.2	-3.61	15.7	15.4	0.25
Julian Wright	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-7	9	16.7	16.5	0.20	20.5	13.7	6.79
Devin Brown	44	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-6	7	16.7	16.3	0.47	16.7	14.3	2.44
Hilton Armstrong	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-5	5	16.5	16.5	-0.06	14.0	16.3	-2.28
Ryan Bowen	33	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-2	-1	16.8	16.3	0.54	14.4	16.1	-1.68
James Posey	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-3	1	16.3	16.8	-0.54	16.1	14.4	1.68
Antonio Daniels	68	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	15.9	18.3	-2.35	14.4	18.5	-4.10
Peja Stojakovic	71	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	16.0	18.1	-2.11	14.4	19.1	-4.67
Sean Marks	40	39	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	6	-17	18.6	14.9	3.69	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Rasual Butler	70	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	3	-11	16.9	15.1	1.83	15.7	14.7	1.01

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	70	72	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-5	15	15.5	15.3	0.21	17.2	14.1	3.10
O.J. Mayo	78	81	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-3	11	14.7	21.4	-6.71	16.8	14.2	2.59
Hakim Warrick	68	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-2	9	15.0	16.9	-1.86	16.5	16.5	-0.06
Darko Milicic	38	37	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	-1	7	17.2	14.2	3.01	18.2	15.4	2.79
Marc Gasol	44	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	2	1	14.4	16.6	-2.21	16.3	16.7	-0.45
Greg Buckner	61	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	9	-13	16.4	13.5	2.95	15.1	18.8	-3.65
Quinton Ross	53	57	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	1	3	15.1	16.0	-0.91	17.8	14.4	3.39
Darius Miles	14	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	18.4	14.9	3.50	12.0	17.4	-5.39
Marko Jaric	19	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	10	-15	15.3	15.5	-0.21	14.1	17.2	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.97,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	93.8%
NYK 96, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	93.7%
NOH 92, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.7%