NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	6.9 [433]		MVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): +11.9%
New Orleans Hornets	101		Comeback	1.2 [1013]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -14.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	79%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Charlie Ward	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	2	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	11	50%	-0.02	2	0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	27	53%	0.07	5	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	13	31%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.05	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.02	20	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.07	15	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.04
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.05	0.02	15	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	12	75%	-0.02
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	9	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.7	26.2	15.6	40.1	1.8	34.2	145.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +20.5%

NOH +1.9%

NOH +17.3%

NOH +6.9%

NOH +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOH	NBA	NYK	NOH	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.5	110.3	113.5	101.6
season	15.6	15.9		102.6	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	18.0	15.5	15.7	16.3
NOH	16.8	14.0	16.5	18.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	50	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-6	7	15.7	17.1	-1.43	16.0	17.1	-1.12
Othella Harrington	52	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-5	5	15.6	17.3	-1.72	16.2	16.8	-0.66
Shandon Anderson	25	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	19.5	15.0	4.54	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Michael Doleac	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-3	1	19.1	15.1	4.03	17.9	15.8	2.14
Kurt Thomas	53	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-5	5	14.5	19.1	-4.55	15.7	17.7	-2.00
Allan Houston	75	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-7	9	15.0	24.2	-9.24	16.3	17.5	-1.16
Charlie Ward	37	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	1	-7	17.1	15.7	1.43	17.1	16.0	1.12
Clar. Weatherspoon	43	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	3	-11	17.6	15.0	2.60	16.8	16.1	0.73
Latrell Sprewell	74	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	4	-13	16.5	15.2	1.33	16.6	15.5	1.14

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	68	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	16.1	17.6	-1.48	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Jamal Mashburn	78	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	-1	7	16.4	16.5	-0.12	15.3	21.8	-6.44
P.J. Brown	68	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	-1	7	16.1	17.4	-1.23	15.3	19.0	-3.69
Jamaal Magloire	66	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.19	5	0	5	16.7	15.7	1.00	16.0	17.2	-1.21
Kenny Anderson	42	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	4	-3	17.0	15.9	1.11	17.2	15.5	1.69
Robert Traylor	20	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	5	-5	17.8	16.0	1.76	18.3	15.6	2.70
Courtney Alexander	37	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	3	-1	15.0	17.5	-2.46	17.7	15.3	2.40
George Lynch	45	44	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	3	-1	16.6	16.2	0.42	15.7	16.9	-1.18
Jerome Moiso	21	23	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	6	-7	17.4	16.1	1.23	19.0	15.3	3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.2%
NOH 80, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.97,0.87,1	93.7%
PHI 85, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.96,1	93.6%