NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	7.0 [399]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +23.3%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.5 [932]		LVP	Nick Young (PHI): -26.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	2	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Damien Wilkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	16	65%	0.20	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Maalik Wayns	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	14	29%	-0.18	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.06	-0.00	17	70%	0.26	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	16	56%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	13	56%	0.04	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	17	33%	-0.15	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.3	35.1	15.7	24.3	2.4	31.3	131.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +22.9%

PHI -2.9%

IND +27.2%

PHI -6.5%

IND +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	15.2	15.4	94.4	103.3	104.1
season	15.5	16.1		100.5	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	14.0	20.9	14.7	16.4
IND	16.5	13.7	15.1	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	11	12	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-18	26	9.7	17.4	-7.64	11.2	15.8	-4.67
Maalik Wayns	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-10	10	17.4	16.2	1.19	17.8	14.5	3.35
Lavoy Allen	22	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-7	4	17.1	16.2	0.87	18.5	14.2	4.24
Spencer Hawes	46	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-15	20	15.6	17.3	-1.64	15.3	15.1	0.17
Dorell Wright	56	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-9	8	15.1	18.7	-3.61	15.3	15.0	0.31
Kwame Brown	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	1	-12	17.5	15.6	1.96	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Jason Richardson	37	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	3	-16	19.7	14.1	5.60	15.7	14.9	0.80
Evan Turner	80	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	16.2	18.6	-2.44	14.6	20.7	-6.14
Thaddeus Young	71	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	1	-12	16.3	17.1	-0.79	14.5	18.2	-3.76
Nick Young	68	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.19	-16	6	-22	16.8	15.4	1.36	15.7	13.9	1.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	65	63	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.22	16	-6	22	15.0	15.7	-0.73	16.8	15.6	1.25
George Hill	77	74	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.19	16	-6	22	15.1	16.0	-0.92	16.2	17.4	-1.15
Paul George	73	72	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.10	19	-9	28	15.1	15.8	-0.77	16.9	14.4	2.56
Sam Young	48	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	6	-2	16.3	14.1	2.18	15.9	17.0	-1.02
David West	66	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	9	-8	14.2	17.9	-3.76	15.8	18.0	-2.17
Tyler Hansbrough	26	25	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	1	8	17.9	14.2	3.76	18.0	15.8	2.17
Gerald Green	65	63	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	12	-14	14.5	17.1	-2.61	16.1	17.3	-1.23
Ben Hansbrough	15	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	16	-22	16.0	15.1	0.92	17.4	16.2	1.15
Ian Mahinmi	25	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	17	-24	16.2	14.9	1.39	15.9	16.7	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	93.6%
CHA 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.1%
CLE 109, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%