NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	6.6 [475]		MVP	Omer Asik (HOU): +21.3%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	1.4 [1166]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOH): -16.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.09	0.02	15	53%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	65%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	15	48%	0.13	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.08	1	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	8	40%	-0.06	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.06	0.03	11	33%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.10	0.01	14	58%	0.21	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.08	0.05	8	94%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	9	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	23	56%	0.12	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	10	41%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	31.3	14.8	22.2	1.7	28.2	121.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.6%

HOU +21.4%

NOH -5.5%

HOU +0.6%

NOH -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	15.4	98.9	113.0	104.1
season	16.3	14.2		103.9	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		105.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.0	17.5	15.9	16.0	16.4
HOU	13.3	13.8	14.1	18.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	41	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-13	14	15.0	17.4	-2.40	15.9	13.8	2.10
Jason Smith	48	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-15	18	14.4	18.4	-4.03	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Roger Mason Jr.	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-6	0	14.7	17.1	-2.31	15.2	14.6	0.60
Lance Thomas	19	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-4	-4	19.0	15.7	3.31	12.4	15.4	-3.02
Austin Rivers	32	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-6	0	19.2	14.9	4.25	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Dominic McGuire	31	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-6	0	16.0	16.6	-0.60	15.6	14.4	1.15
Robin Lopez	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-4	-4	17.8	15.6	2.25	13.8	15.3	-1.56
Ryan Anderson	56	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-7	2	15.3	17.9	-2.62	15.6	13.5	2.13
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-11	10	15.7	17.7	-1.92	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Anthony Davis	49	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	2	-16	18.5	14.0	4.49	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Greivis Vasquez	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	16.6	15.9	0.63	15.1	13.8	1.33

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-1	14	15.2	12.5	2.74	16.5	15.8	0.74
Jeremy Lin	80	80	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-5	22	14.6	16.0	-1.42	17.0	12.7	4.27
Chandler Parsons	63	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	2	8	15.0	14.1	0.91	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Omer Asik	49	48	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	3	6	13.7	16.0	-2.37	17.6	15.0	2.56
Carlos Delfino	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	1	10	15.9	13.7	2.20	16.8	16.0	0.86
Patrick Patterson	43	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	2	8	15.9	13.8	2.06	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Marcus Morris	43	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	10	-8	13.2	16.1	-2.91	16.5	16.2	0.34
Toney Douglas	28	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	18	-24	14.0	15.1	-1.09	14.4	17.3	-2.85
Greg Smith	34	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	18	-24	14.9	14.7	0.24	14.4	17.6	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.7%
NOH 80, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.97,0.87,1	93.7%
DEN 102, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.4%