NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	6.1 [561]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +21.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.9 [716]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -15.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	78%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	3	112%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	15	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	73%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	3	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	10	57%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	18	50%	-0.03	3	-0.13	8	75%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.09	-0.04	7	89%	0.23	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	9	91%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	17	73%	0.24	4	-0.10	11	82%	0.04
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	13	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	17	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	27.2	14.8	23.2	2.6	32.3	124.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.2%

MIN +8.8%

UTA -9.1%

MIN +23.0%

MIN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.8	16.9	15.6	115.3	124.4	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	103.3
opponent	15.5	16.0		105.3	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	15.8	16.9	19.1	16.8
MIN	15.5	17.7	17.4	17.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	38	37	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-15	21	14.6	18.6	-3.99	16.1	17.5	-1.39
Howard Eisley	19	19	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-12	15	15.3	17.2	-1.93	15.3	17.3	-2.07
Antoine Carr	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-1	-7	19.0	16.1	2.91	19.5	16.0	3.59
Adam Keefe	23	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-7	5	17.6	16.5	1.03	16.8	16.9	-0.16
Shandon Anderson	20	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	20.4	15.7	4.69	20.0	15.8	4.26
Chris Morris	10	10	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	1	-11	19.8	16.4	3.39	14.2	17.2	-3.02
Greg Foster	14	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-1	-7	20.3	16.1	4.16	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Jeff Hornacek	65	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-7	5	15.7	20.4	-4.69	15.8	20.0	-4.26
Bryon Russell	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-8	7	16.2	20.3	-4.10	17.0	15.9	1.12
Karl Malone	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-5	1	16.6	18.6	-1.95	16.8	17.3	-0.48
John Stockton	66	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	3	-15	17.2	15.3	1.93	17.3	15.3	2.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	73	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-3	15	16.5	19.0	-2.51	16.9	16.1	0.80
Kevin Garnett	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	4	1	16.7	17.6	-0.86	17.6	13.6	4.03
Sam Mitchell	51	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-3	15	16.7	17.1	-0.36	16.6	17.1	-0.42
Cherokee Parks	38	36	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	1	7	16.6	17.1	-0.57	17.3	16.5	0.81
Terry Porter	51	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	17.2	16.3	0.89	16.8	16.8	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	73	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	7	-5	17.3	14.5	2.75	16.2	20.2	-4.00
Chris Carr	29	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	6	-3	16.3	17.1	-0.80	16.2	17.1	-0.89
Stojko Vrankovic	27	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	9	-9	16.7	16.9	-0.19	16.6	16.9	-0.25
James Robinson	20	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	10	-11	18.3	16.4	1.93	16.3	17.0	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 80, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.97,0.87,1	93.8%
SAC 100, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.69,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.1%
SAS 108, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,0.98,1	92.6%