NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	3.3 [1138]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +11.1%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	1.3 [869]		LVP	Antoine Wright (DAL): -8.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.03	18	45%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	46%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	20	33%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.01	-0.06	13	55%	0.11	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.04	14	55%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	20	72%	0.14	5	-0.07	7	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	0.00	0.11	13	77%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	62%	0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	29.0	19.8	31.0	3.6	26.2	138.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.9%

UTA +0.0%

UTA +11.3%

DAL -6.6%

DAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.5	91.6	118.6	106.4
season	15.6	15.3		108.9	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	12.6	14.2	14.4	14.5
UTA	13.0	13.6	15.2	21.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-25	22	14.3	14.5	-0.17	20.9	14.2	6.76
Gerald Green	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-23	18	14.2	14.5	-0.27	20.9	14.4	6.58
Ryan Hollins	33	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.19	-8	-20	12	13.1	15.2	-2.17	20.0	13.0	6.97
Brandon Bass	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-23	18	14.7	14.3	0.40	14.0	16.4	-2.37
James Singleton	16	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-20	12	14.1	14.5	-0.42	19.2	14.7	4.48
Jose Juan Barea	34	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-15	2	14.1	14.7	-0.60	18.4	13.8	4.66
Jason Terry	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-18	8	13.4	16.3	-2.87	14.7	16.9	-2.14
Jason Kidd	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-13	-2	14.7	14.1	0.60	13.8	18.4	-4.66
Josh Howard	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	-11	-6	14.5	14.4	0.14	14.4	17.9	-3.45
Erick Dampier	35	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	-12	-4	15.9	13.6	2.28	13.3	16.8	-3.44
Dirk Nowitzki	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	-9	-10	14.4	14.8	-0.39	14.2	18.9	-4.67
Antoine Wright	28	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.21	-21	-7	-14	16.9	13.5	3.38	13.0	16.6	-3.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.24	27	1	26	14.2	19.0	-4.81	15.5	11.5	4.03
Mehmet Okur	69	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.25	27	1	26	14.4	18.2	-3.79	15.5	11.5	4.03
Paul Millsap	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.31	24	4	20	14.0	18.5	-4.50	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Ronnie Brewer	83	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	9	10	15.5	15.6	-0.07	14.3	15.8	-1.59
Deron Williams	71	71	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.30	20	8	12	14.6	17.9	-3.29	14.6	14.1	0.47
Brevin Knight	13	11	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	17	-6	12.1	16.0	-3.97	14.9	14.4	0.49
Matt Harpring	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	25	-22	16.8	15.1	1.73	15.2	14.2	1.04
Ronnie Price	45	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	22	-16	18.5	12.9	5.55	13.2	15.5	-2.31
Morris Almond	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	23.7	14.8	8.97	12.6	14.6	-2.05
Kosta Koufos	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	23.7	14.8	8.97	12.6	14.6	-2.05
Kyrylo Fesenko	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	24	-20	19.2	15.4	3.90	12.0	14.6	-2.55
Jarron Collins	24	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	31	-34	18.0	14.7	3.36	11.4	15.4	-3.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 63, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHI 68, NJN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIN 80, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%