NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	68		Excitement	3.0 [1153]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +4.6%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	1.1 [1222]		LVP	Brad Miller (CHI): -9.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	5	67%	0.01	3	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	-0.10	11	18%	-0.07	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	11	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.05	9	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	17	47%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	83%	0.04	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	-0.06	13	46%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Goodrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	12	63%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	24.4	14.5	18.9	1.8	25.2	109.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +26.1%

NJN +7.7%

NJN +5.7%

NJN +11.6%

CHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	17.3	14.9	15.6	75.6	112.4	102.3
season	15.6	14.7		96.3	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.9	19.2	16.0	17.4	17.3
NJN	16.6	17.8	12.3	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalibor Bagaric	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-27	22	17.9	17.1	0.83	13.9	15.1	-1.26
A.J. Guyton	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-27	22	17.9	17.1	0.83	13.9	15.1	-1.26
Eddy Curry	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.29	-11	-21	10	17.1	17.3	-0.22	13.2	15.7	-2.42
Tyson Chandler	12	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-31	30	18.7	17.0	1.72	15.2	14.9	0.31
Kevin Ollie	37	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-28	24	17.5	17.1	0.35	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Fred Hoiberg	26	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-30	28	18.4	16.8	1.59	16.8	14.1	2.68
Trenton Hassell	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.40	-20	-12	-8	16.9	17.8	-0.92	15.3	14.3	1.00
Marcus Fizer	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-17	2	17.9	16.6	1.28	15.2	14.6	0.54
Charles Oakley	48	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.36	-25	-7	-18	16.4	18.2	-1.80	14.2	15.7	-1.52
Greg Anthony	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.39	-28	-4	-24	17.1	17.5	-0.35	15.3	14.4	0.86
Ron Mercer	60	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.30	-25	-7	-18	16.7	18.4	-1.67	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Brad Miller	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	-13	-6	17.3	17.2	0.01	15.7	13.5	2.20

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	59	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.31	27	5	22	14.4	15.9	-1.49	16.7	18.4	-1.67
Keith Van Horn	61	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.41	29	3	26	14.8	15.2	-0.50	17.3	17.1	0.16
Todd MacCulloch	59	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.27	24	8	16	14.2	16.3	-2.15	16.9	18.0	-1.10
Jason Kidd	58	60	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.30	25	7	18	14.6	15.5	-0.93	16.7	18.4	-1.67
Kerry Kittles	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.33	25	7	18	14.3	15.7	-1.48	17.0	17.6	-0.59
Lucious Harris	39	39	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	25	-18	15.7	14.3	1.48	17.6	17.0	0.59
Brandon Armstrong	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.14	7	25	-18	15.5	14.6	0.93	18.4	16.7	1.67
Aaron Williams	14	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	29	-26	19.1	14.1	5.02	18.1	17.1	0.96
Jason Collins	22	21	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	28	-24	14.5	15.0	-0.48	18.1	17.0	1.10
Steve Goodrich	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	28	-24	16.2	14.0	2.20	17.6	17.0	0.58
Derrick Dial	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	27	-22	13.9	15.1	-1.26	17.9	17.1	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 63, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIL 70, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ATL 95, SAS 124	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%