NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Excitement	9.6 [85]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +20.1%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	7.5 [103]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -39.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.12	0.03	8	75%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Sebastian Telfair	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.19	0.08	0.13	0.02	9	67%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.09
Brian Cardinal	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	81%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Carney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	13	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.06	0.03	18	44%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.39	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.39	-0.16	-0.24	-0.01	18	47%	-0.03	9	-0.37	4	75%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.07	0.02	15	62%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.05
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.05	0.02	19	67%	0.21	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	13	57%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	10	44%	-0.06	3	-0.16	12	67%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	26.1	14.7	24.0	1.8	43.6	136.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.2%

MIN +21.3%

MIN +28.5%

IND -17.1%

MIN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	12.6	15.5	114.9	108.8	106.4
season	15.8	14.1		104.3	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.7	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.4	13.5	17.5	14.9	15.8
IND	12.1	14.2	11.8	12.3	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-3	11	15.5	16.2	-0.75	13.1	11.8	1.30
Randy Foye	89	91	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	1	3	15.5	17.9	-2.43	12.4	14.8	-2.47
Al Jefferson	81	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	4	-3	15.7	16.1	-0.41	11.5	17.1	-5.64
Ryan Gomes	78	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	6	-7	15.7	15.9	-0.18	11.4	16.6	-5.24
Rodney Carney	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	-3	11	15.1	16.1	-0.95	15.4	11.4	4.02
Kevin Love	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	-4	13	15.9	15.7	0.26	13.8	11.7	2.12
Sebastian Telfair	75	75	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	8	-11	16.3	14.3	1.97	11.9	14.6	-2.69
Brian Cardinal	20	21	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	16.1	15.7	0.41	17.1	11.5	5.64
Craig Smith	23	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	10	-15	16.8	15.5	1.31	12.6	12.6	0.01

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	55	55	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.03	5	-10	15	13.1	12.1	0.99	16.3	15.1	1.26
Jarrett Jack	26	25	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.05	3	-8	11	14.6	11.9	2.68	16.8	15.4	1.37
Stephen Graham	10	12	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-8	11	16.8	12.2	4.64	16.2	15.7	0.54
Rasho Nesterovic	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-4	3	15.2	12.1	3.07	16.9	15.5	1.33
Maceo Baston	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	12.9	12.5	0.34	15.8	15.8	0.03
Marquis Daniels	50	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-6	7	13.1	12.2	0.87	16.5	15.1	1.39
Danny Granger	83	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	12.0	15.5	-3.51	15.5	16.8	-1.31
T.J. Ford	76	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	3	-11	11.9	14.6	-2.68	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Troy Murphy	89	88	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.42	-10	5	-15	12.3	14.5	-2.20	15.5	17.5	-2.03
Mike Dunleavy	75	75	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.38	-14	9	-23	11.8	14.9	-3.04	15.1	17.6	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.79,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.16,0.04,0	92.3%
ORL 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.04,0	92.1%
UTA 96, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.63,0.69,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.04,0	91.6%