NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	7.6 [340]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +12.3%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	5.1 [129]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -24.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	12	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	81%	0.10	1	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.03
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Adrian Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	35%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.00	15	45%	-0.02	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.05
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	0.00	21	43%	-0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	12	25%	-0.18	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.4	32.4	15.7	22.2	1.8	36.2	138.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +54.0%

CHI +8.3%

BOS -19.0%

CHI +8.3%

BOS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.5	100.0	95.6	104.0
season	15.1	14.4		100.1	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.4		104.1	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	15.6	16.0	11.8	14.8
BOS	14.0	15.0	19.2	18.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	55	53	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-3	14	13.1	17.3	-4.23	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Ben Gordon	61	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	13.9	16.4	-2.49	17.0	15.6	1.35
Chris Duhon	48	48	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	15.8	13.7	2.09	17.1	15.9	1.22
Eddy Curry	47	45	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	2	4	14.6	15.0	-0.43	16.8	16.3	0.49
Othella Harrington	36	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	6	-4	16.1	14.0	2.11	17.2	16.1	1.09
Adrian Griffin	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	6	-4	17.0	14.5	2.51	13.3	17.0	-3.69
Jannero Pargo	47	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	10	-12	13.7	16.0	-2.30	15.7	17.3	-1.56
Eric Piatkowski	33	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	16.4	13.9	2.49	15.6	17.0	-1.35
Andres Nocioni	33	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	8	-8	15.8	14.3	1.51	15.8	16.9	-1.10
Antonio Davis	46	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	13	-18	16.9	12.8	4.16	16.3	16.8	-0.53

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-8	8	9.0	16.6	-7.62	6.5	15.0	-8.49
Paul Pierce	67	70	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-13	18	15.9	18.5	-2.67	15.8	12.0	3.72
Kendrick Perkins	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	16.9	16.5	0.40	15.1	14.8	0.33
Al Jefferson	12	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-6	4	15.7	16.7	-1.00	14.6	14.8	-0.28
Gary Payton	61	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-8	8	16.5	16.6	-0.03	15.7	12.9	2.85
Delonte West	8	7	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	18.1	16.4	1.75	6.7	15.5	-8.75
Marcus Banks	24	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-4	0	15.4	16.9	-1.52	13.5	15.3	-1.86
Mark Blount	25	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	18.1	15.9	2.14	12.5	15.6	-3.16
Antoine Walker	70	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-6	4	16.1	18.0	-1.95	15.5	12.5	2.94
Raef LaFrentz	61	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-5	2	16.8	16.1	0.69	15.7	13.1	2.60
Tony Allen	44	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	4	-16	18.7	14.5	4.20	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Ricky Davis	68	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	1	-10	15.9	18.4	-2.48	14.3	16.2	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 116, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.79,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.15,0.05,0	92.3%
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	91.8%
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	91.8%