NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	7.8 [276]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +22.1%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	1.6 [547]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -29.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.16	0.01	20	57%	0.29	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	7	72%	0.24	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.07
JJ Hickson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	62%	0.10	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	8	87%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.05	-0.01	27	55%	0.17	2	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	8%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.00	-0.05	18	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	73%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	11	65%	0.13	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	14	46%	-0.11	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.25,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	9	19%	-0.16	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.4	28.5	15.7	24.2	1.8	34.0	136.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +62.7%

CLE +0.1%

UTA -21.1%

CLE +5.2%

CLE +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	117.2	110.2	106.4
season	16.9	15.3		110.6	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.4	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.9	16.3	15.0	15.9	16.5
UTA	15.4	15.7	18.4	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	62	63	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.37	22	-17	39	16.2	17.4	-1.28	16.7	15.6	1.15
LeBron James	75	75	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-11	27	16.3	18.1	-1.80	16.3	16.9	-0.63
Ben Wallace	48	48	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-6	17	15.2	18.2	-2.95	17.1	15.5	1.67
Anderson Varejao	72	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	5	-5	16.2	18.3	-2.10	16.5	16.0	0.46
Mo Williams	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	5	-5	16.4	16.9	-0.48	16.7	15.4	1.26
Tarence Kinsey	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	15.4	16.6	-1.27	17.8	16.2	1.55
JJ Hickson	38	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	9	-13	18.1	15.3	2.75	16.5	16.3	0.14
Wally Szczerbiak	28	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.04	-8	13	-21	18.3	15.7	2.59	15.0	17.0	-1.98
Daniel Gibson	37	37	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	16	-27	17.6	15.7	1.85	14.9	17.4	-2.49

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	46	45	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-13	21	16.7	16.1	0.56	16.5	16.5	0.01
Brevin Knight	22	22	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-11	17	16.5	16.3	0.15	18.9	15.7	3.13
Matt Harpring	40	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.38	12	-17	29	15.9	16.8	-0.85	15.9	17.0	-1.07
Kyrylo Fesenko	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-3	1	14.9	16.7	-1.82	17.9	16.3	1.58
Kyle Korver	54	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.43	9	-14	23	15.8	17.3	-1.43	16.5	16.5	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	40	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-2	-1	16.7	16.1	0.53	16.3	16.7	-0.45
CJ Miles	34	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	9	-23	17.3	15.8	1.43	16.5	16.5	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	48	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	12	-29	16.8	15.9	0.85	17.0	15.9	1.07
Deron Williams	66	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	6	-17	16.3	16.5	-0.15	15.7	18.9	-3.13
Paul Millsap	76	74	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.36	-13	8	-21	16.4	16.6	-0.23	16.4	17.2	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.4,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.55,0.11,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.53,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.27,0	91.8%
TOR 84, DEN 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.34,0.27,0	91.7%
MIL 100, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.09,0	91.6%