NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	7.6 [277]		MVP	Joe Wolf (DEN): +10.1%
Denver Nuggets	80		Comeback	1.8 [579]		LVP	Anthony Goldwire (DEN): -34.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	53%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Walt Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	61%	0.07	4	-0.16	12	92%	0.07
Doug Christie	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	2	17%	-0.12	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Harold Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.09	2	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.13	0.01	14	56%	-0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	44%	-0.04	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	5	7%	-0.24	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.35	-0.35	-0.13	-0.22	-0.00	5	0%	-0.32	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	31.2	15.6	23.4	2.3	32.7	129.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +66.8%

TOR +5.0%

DEN -25.1%

TOR +3.1%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DEN	NBA	TOR	DEN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.6	92.3	88.9	102.5
season	15.5	16.2		98.7	96.7
opponent	15.2	14.8		109.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	15.6	16.0	18.7	16.0
DEN	15.5	12.1	16.0	21.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	59	59	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.46	12	-8	20	16.4	15.4	1.03	16.7	14.0	2.71
Doug Christie	78	77	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.41	11	-7	18	16.5	13.4	3.10	16.3	12.5	3.79
Walt Williams	61	61	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-7	18	15.6	16.9	-1.28	14.9	17.7	-2.87
Oliver Miller	55	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-1	6	17.1	14.4	2.78	16.9	14.1	2.78
Damon Stoudamire	71	69	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	6	-8	16.2	15.6	0.57	16.1	14.9	1.20
Zan Tabak	25	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	-3	10	16.6	15.8	0.71	16.8	15.4	1.36
Shawn Respert	26	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	3	-2	14.9	16.5	-1.62	14.4	16.4	-2.06
Carlos Rogers	39	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	15	-26	15.0	16.8	-1.78	13.4	17.4	-4.03
Reggie Slater	17	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	6	-8	13.5	16.6	-3.16	17.2	15.5	1.72
John Wallace	24	23	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.01	-12	16	-28	16.1	16.0	0.05	14.0	16.4	-2.39

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harold Ellis	14	15	0.41	-0.91	1.31	0.14	9	-13	22	17.0	15.6	1.45	19.3	15.4	3.86
Joe Wolf	22	21	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.04	10	-14	24	19.3	14.6	4.63	18.0	15.5	2.48
Priest Lauderdale	15	15	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.10	9	-13	22	10.7	16.8	-6.05	18.1	15.6	2.50
Danny Fortson	52	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-14	24	14.8	17.1	-2.30	16.6	15.3	1.38
Johnny Newman	55	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.45	14	-18	32	15.3	16.6	-1.30	16.6	15.0	1.62
Anthony Goldwire	50	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.43	10	-14	24	15.8	15.8	-0.04	17.2	14.7	2.47
Tony Battie	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	8	-20	18.6	14.4	4.14	16.3	15.9	0.34
Eric Washington	49	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.07	-23	19	-42	14.9	16.9	-2.02	14.5	17.8	-3.36
Bobby Jackson	42	45	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	10	-24	15.9	15.7	0.19	14.8	17.3	-2.50
LaPhonso Ellis	71	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.41	-10	6	-16	15.7	16.1	-0.42	15.1	19.5	-4.49
Dean Garrett	51	53	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.24	-23	19	-42	16.3	15.1	1.19	15.2	17.2	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.34,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.09,0	92.1%
CLE 102, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.4,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.55,0.11,0.16,0	91.7%
MIL 107, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.53,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.27,0	91.1%