NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	4.6 [901]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +13.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	1.2 [998]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -14.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	13	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	65%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	15	71%	0.22	8	-0.15	8	87%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	8	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.03
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	8	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	21	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	5	36%	-0.04	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	28.4	15.6	29.4	2.7	34.0	137.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +55.9%

MEM -9.5%

MEM -5.9%

UTA +6.9%

UTA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.5	108.6	100.0	106.4
season	15.3	16.1		107.7	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.0		107.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.8	13.4	18.3	16.6	15.7
MEM	15.8	16.0	13.0	17.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	86	84	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-4	18	15.4	19.1	-3.71	15.4	17.6	-2.14
Andrei Kirilenko	66	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-6	22	14.8	18.0	-3.18	13.7	20.4	-6.76
Ronnie Brewer	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	2	6	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.3	18.9	-3.60
Mehmet Okur	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-4	18	14.8	17.5	-2.69	14.8	17.3	-2.44
Kyle Korver	55	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	6	-2	15.8	15.6	0.27	16.6	14.2	2.42
CJ Miles	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	4	2	15.6	15.8	-0.27	14.2	16.6	-2.42
Matt Harpring	25	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	9	-8	17.4	15.1	2.31	21.7	13.5	8.11
Jarron Collins	29	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	17	-24	17.9	14.7	3.13	16.4	15.2	1.16
Brevin Knight	17	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	12	-14	17.1	15.4	1.72	18.3	15.1	3.20
Kosta Koufos	3	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	14	-18	19.3	15.6	3.74	18.5	15.5	3.04

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-14	18	16.5	15.1	1.35	18.3	14.5	3.77
Mike Conley	52	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.36	10	-20	30	16.4	14.5	1.85	16.2	15.1	1.07
Darius Miles	22	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-7	4	19.9	14.2	5.69	18.5	14.8	3.68
Darrell Arthur	12	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	0	-10	14.0	15.8	-1.84	13.9	16.0	-2.06
O.J. Mayo	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-11	12	15.2	16.8	-1.65	15.3	16.9	-1.57
Greg Buckner	40	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-3	-4	17.2	14.3	2.91	16.1	15.4	0.79
Marc Gasol	69	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.2	19.9	-5.69	14.8	18.5	-3.68
Rudy Gay	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	14.2	18.2	-3.99	16.1	15.1	1.01
Hakim Warrick	63	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	16.2	14.3	1.89	14.7	18.2	-3.49
Kyle Lowry	39	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	10	-30	14.5	16.4	-1.85	15.1	16.2	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0	95.5%
UTA 98, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
NYK 92, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.8%