NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	105		Excitement	8.9 [134]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +28.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.5 [935]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21	-0.00	0.18	-0.03	7	44%	0.25	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Michael Beasley	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.2	0.10	0.08	-0.02	16	66%	0.32	2	-0.12	3	67%	-0.02
Daequan Cook	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	15	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	22	53%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	12	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.19	0.02	13	67%	0.32	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.16	-0.00	5	100%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	82%	0.21	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	13	46%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	15	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	14	54%	0.05	4	-0.22	7	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.6	15.8	29.0	2.5	39.1	139.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +7.6%

LAL +17.3%

LAL +47.1%

MIA -26.6%

LAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAL	NBA	MIA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	15.5	108.2	112.5	106.4
season	16.0	14.9		105.9	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		102.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.6	17.1	17.6	11.4	15.2
LAL	13.2	15.6	14.4	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	31	30	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-10	17	15.9	14.9	0.96	15.7	14.1	1.66
James Jones	14	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	14.1	15.4	-1.29	18.0	14.1	3.89
Yakhouba Diawara	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-4	5	12.2	15.7	-3.52	15.2	14.5	0.65
Chris Quinn	64	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.43	11	-14	25	14.6	16.5	-1.92	15.1	13.5	1.60
Daequan Cook	61	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-6	9	15.6	14.7	0.84	13.9	15.7	-1.76
Michael Beasley	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-9	15	13.0	17.3	-4.28	15.0	14.2	0.71
Shawn Marion	69	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	1	-5	16.3	12.7	3.61	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Joel Anthony	19	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	12	-27	17.4	14.7	2.64	13.7	14.8	-1.14
Mario Chalmers	18	19	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	9	-21	18.1	14.6	3.45	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Dwyane Wade	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-3	3	15.2	15.3	-0.10	14.4	15.8	-1.40
Udonis Haslem	68	69	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	9	-21	15.2	15.3	-0.14	14.0	16.2	-2.27

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	78	79	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.27	18	-15	33	14.4	15.5	-1.12	15.7	13.2	2.49
Vladimir Radmanovic	63	65	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.34	14	-11	25	13.2	17.2	-3.99	15.8	14.1	1.68
Derek Fisher	84	84	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-9	21	14.6	14.3	0.30	15.9	11.2	4.64
Kobe Bryant	74	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-8	19	13.9	16.8	-2.83	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Andrew Bynum	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-5	13	14.6	14.4	0.24	15.8	13.3	2.49
Trevor Ariza	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	11	-19	16.6	13.8	2.79	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Josh Powell	40	41	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.33	-20	23	-43	14.9	14.4	0.52	13.3	16.7	-3.39
Sasha Vujacic	39	38	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.11	-20	23	-43	16.5	13.3	3.28	13.8	16.2	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.53,0.42,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	91.7%
MIL 89, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	91.5%
POR 98, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.85,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	91.5%