NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	8.5 [205]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +49.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.4 [937]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -28.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.14	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.02	14	46%	0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	65%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.00	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	4	64%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Sebastian Telfair	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	6	38%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	6	55%	-0.02	4	-0.14	8	62%	-0.03
Darius Miles	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	8	43%	-0.08	3	-0.14	5	60%	-0.04
Zach Randolph	-0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.15,-0.29	-0.07	-0.21	0.00	13	36%	-0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.49	0.49	0.16	0.28	-0.05	12	84%	0.54	2	-0.04	13	100%	0.18
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	24	46%	0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.06	0.04	17	51%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	11	50%	-0.04	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	5	33%	-0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	27.3	15.8	26.0	2.4	38.0	133.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +19.5%

LAC +20.3%

LAC +2.2%

LAC +7.9%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	16.9	15.5	111.4	115.9	104.0
season	15.8	16.0		101.2	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	16.5	18.7	13.4	15.8
LAC	17.3	19.5	13.4	17.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	21	21	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-10	16	14.8	16.1	-1.34	17.3	16.8	0.51
Joel Przybilla	41	42	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.36	13	-17	30	14.6	16.8	-2.24	17.9	16.1	1.79
Travis Outlaw	17	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-4	4	17.1	15.5	1.65	15.8	17.2	-1.39
Damon Stoudamire	47	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.41	8	-12	20	15.1	16.5	-1.36	18.3	15.5	2.85
Derek Anderson	53	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-1	-2	15.9	15.6	0.35	16.0	18.5	-2.52
Darius Miles	46	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	15.2	16.4	-1.23	17.0	16.9	0.03
Ruben Patterson	49	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	15.8	15.8	-0.02	17.8	16.0	1.81
Zach Randolph	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	0	-4	15.4	16.4	-1.03	17.3	16.4	0.96
Theo Ratliff	47	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	13	-30	16.8	14.6	2.24	16.1	17.9	-1.79
Nick Van Exel	63	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.21	-16	12	-28	16.9	13.0	3.89	16.0	19.5	-3.46

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	53	52	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.31	18	-14	32	16.3	17.9	-1.61	16.0	15.5	0.53
Corey Maggette	70	71	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.28	15	-11	26	16.9	17.3	-0.42	16.2	14.1	2.14
Elton Brand	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-3	10	16.9	17.0	-0.07	16.2	14.1	2.14
Bobby Simmons	74	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	16.8	17.8	-1.00	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Rick Brunson	73	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	0	4	16.8	17.4	-0.55	16.1	14.2	1.82
Lionel Chalmers	8	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	18.1	16.8	1.30	18.0	15.6	2.41
Darrick Martin	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	5	-6	17.1	16.9	0.24	15.4	15.9	-0.42
Mikki Moore	18	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	9	-14	17.3	16.9	0.42	14.6	16.1	-1.47
Zeljko Rebraca	25	24	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	15	-26	18.0	16.5	1.42	14.7	16.2	-1.54
Quinton Ross	35	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	15	-26	17.4	16.6	0.76	14.4	16.6	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.85,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 86, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.73,1	91.6%
MIA 105, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.53,0.42,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,1	91.5%
BOS 77, MIA 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.99,0.92,1	91.2%