NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	8.5 [177]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +80.7%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	3.2 [209]		LVP	Matt Barnes (PHX): -20.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.81	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.81	0.16	0.64	-0.01	27	61%	0.84	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	10	65%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	12	52%	0.14	2	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Diener	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	9	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.58	0.58	0.12	0.46	0.00	10	78%	0.63	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	70%	0.15	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	19	49%	-0.04	5	-0.09	9	100%	0.05
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.14	0.01	15	50%	-0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	10	26%	-0.13	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.4	30.5	14.6	28.5	2.0	29.5	137.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +105.8%

PHX -25.8%

PHX -30.5%

PHX -3.4%

IND +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	13.4	15.5	108.7	105.8	106.4
season	14.1	14.1		106.5	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.9	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.6	15.5	13.4	17.4	14.3
PHX	14.7	12.8	13.3	12.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	79	82	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.22	16	-13	29	14.8	12.7	2.16	13.3	13.6	-0.33
Stephen Graham	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-4	11	15.1	12.4	2.75	13.1	14.0	-0.93
Jarrett Jack	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-3	9	15.1	12.9	2.18	13.1	14.0	-0.94
Roy Hibbert	17	17	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	-8	19	13.8	14.4	-0.59	13.4	13.4	-0.03
Troy Murphy	52	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	-3	9	14.4	14.2	0.25	13.0	13.7	-0.66
Mike Dunleavy	46	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.42	-7	10	-17	14.4	14.3	0.09	14.1	12.9	1.22
Rasho Nesterovic	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	12.8	15.2	-2.35	13.5	13.3	0.24
Jeff Foster	59	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.41	-10	13	-23	14.6	14.0	0.56	13.4	13.3	0.17
Travis Diener	53	55	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.14	-9	12	-21	13.7	15.0	-1.26	13.7	13.1	0.59
Brandon Rush	34	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	10	-17	12.1	15.4	-3.36	13.6	13.3	0.38

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	53	54	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.25	13	-16	29	12.8	14.0	-1.19	15.6	12.9	2.69
Jared Dudley	6	7	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-10	17	14.3	13.3	1.02	20.1	13.9	6.25
Leandro Barbosa	43	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-9	15	13.3	13.4	-0.16	16.7	12.6	4.14
Robin Lopez	13	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	7	-17	13.2	13.4	-0.25	13.6	14.4	-0.80
Lou Amundson	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	3	-9	14.1	12.6	1.49	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Steve Nash	94	95	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-4	5	13.1	15.6	-2.46	14.4	13.4	0.96
Jason Richardson	86	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	6	-15	13.7	11.8	1.93	13.0	19.8	-6.85
Grant Hill	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	4	-11	13.3	13.6	-0.34	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Amar'e Stoudemire	98	97	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	7	-17	13.3	14.3	-1.02	13.9	20.1	-6.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.04,0.28,0	93.9%
MIA 86, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.29,0.28,0	93.1%
GSW 111, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.27,0	92.8%