NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	2.7 [1221]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): +6.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	1.1 [1278]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CHI): -9.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	13	63%	0.07	3	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.12	0.01	-0.10	11	42%	0.04	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	52%	-0.01	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Aaron Gray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	6	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.08	10	59%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	21%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	9	32%	-0.06	4	-0.03	4	100%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	72%	0.06	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	14	63%	0.09	3	-0.05	13	62%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	11	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	67%	0.04	5	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.5	34.3	15.8	29.0	2.4	25.5	137.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.4%

CLE +8.9%

CLE +0.9%

CLE +5.0%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	15.5	92.9	120.6	106.4
season	14.8	16.9		106.3	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.9	12.5	11.8	13.6	13.7
CLE	13.0	15.2	18.2	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Simmons	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-21	17	12.2	14.7	-2.42	15.1	16.1	-0.92
Lindsey Hunter	44	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-16	7	13.5	13.9	-0.45	15.2	16.1	-0.98
Joakim Noah	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-17	9	13.5	13.9	-0.40	16.7	14.8	1.83
Andres Nocioni	27	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-19	13	15.4	13.1	2.26	17.4	15.1	2.33
Derrick Rose	45	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-15	5	13.3	14.1	-0.72	17.3	14.4	2.83
Aaron Gray	30	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-8	-9	15.1	13.1	1.92	12.5	17.0	-4.52
Ben Gordon	71	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-18	11	12.9	15.8	-2.87	16.3	14.1	2.23
Tyrus Thomas	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-10	-5	13.4	14.2	-0.76	16.1	15.1	0.99
Larry Hughes	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-10	-5	14.2	13.1	1.04	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Thabo Sefolosha	86	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.46	-33	8	-41	14.6	7.8	6.86	15.0	19.1	-4.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	75	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.29	27	-2	29	15.4	16.7	-1.35	14.0	12.8	1.17
Delonte West	61	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.11	20	5	15	16.1	14.9	1.26	13.9	13.5	0.40
Ben Wallace	54	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.29	23	2	21	15.3	16.2	-0.91	14.8	12.3	2.46
Mo Williams	69	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	7	11	15.7	15.6	0.15	14.2	12.6	1.56
Anderson Varejao	62	65	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.29	20	5	15	16.0	15.2	0.75	14.4	12.4	2.00
Sasha Pavlovic	49	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	21	-17	14.9	16.5	-1.58	12.3	15.0	-2.76
JJ Hickson	37	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	20	-15	15.8	15.6	0.25	12.9	14.2	-1.26
Daniel Gibson	36	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	22	-19	16.6	15.1	1.52	14.5	13.3	1.17
Wally Szczerbiak	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	15.1	15.8	-0.68	11.5	14.0	-2.53
Lorenzen Wright	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	15.1	15.8	-0.68	11.5	14.0	-2.53
Tarence Kinsey	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	13.0	15.8	-2.80	7.7	14.0	-6.23
Darnell Jackson	14	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	25	-25	17.1	15.4	1.63	12.5	13.9	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NOK 87, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ORL 86, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%