NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	1.8 [1297]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +11.4%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.0 [1306]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -14.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.13	0.00	0.12	6	79%	0.01	0	0.00	7	100%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Antawn Jamison	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.00	0.00	20	32%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.22	0.00	0.11	10	108%	0.14	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	65%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	44%	-0.02	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	28.4	15.8	25.2	2.4	30.4	129.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.1%

BOS +6.6%

BOS +4.3%

WAS -5.1%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	16.7	15.5	94.3	122.7	106.4
season	15.9	15.8		103.5	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.7	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.1	15.9	18.6	12.8	16.1
BOS	14.2	16.9	16.5	19.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	14.0	16.6	-2.56	18.1	16.3	1.83
Juan Dixon	24	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-34	43	14.1	16.8	-2.67	19.5	15.5	4.09
Etan Thomas	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-23	21	17.6	15.4	2.20	16.9	16.6	0.31
Nick Young	30	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-26	27	13.8	17.2	-3.39	19.4	15.1	4.37
JaVale McGee	23	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-16	7	13.8	16.9	-3.04	15.0	17.2	-2.18
Andray Blatche	13	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-16	7	18.9	15.6	3.35	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Javaris Crittenton	38	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-22	19	14.6	17.2	-2.67	18.7	15.0	3.70
Darius Songaila	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-16	7	14.9	16.9	-1.98	18.4	15.4	3.01
Dominic McGuire	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.35	-23	-2	-21	16.3	15.7	0.61	15.0	19.7	-4.76
Mike James	58	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.38	-26	1	-27	17.2	13.8	3.39	15.1	19.4	-4.37
Antawn Jamison	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	-3	-19	17.3	13.8	3.49	15.6	18.6	-3.00
Caron Butler	59	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.48	-33	8	-41	17.4	13.4	3.91	15.7	18.4	-2.69

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	57	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.39	26	-1	27	15.5	18.8	-3.27	17.7	13.3	4.38
Rajon Rondo	50	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.37	24	1	23	14.9	19.0	-4.12	17.2	14.5	2.65
Paul Pierce	47	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	6	13	14.9	18.7	-3.83	17.7	14.1	3.61
Kendrick Perkins	49	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	9	7	15.0	18.8	-3.84	17.8	13.8	3.96
Kevin Garnett	46	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	10	5	15.0	18.5	-3.52	18.0	13.9	4.10
Glen Davis	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	17	-9	18.7	15.5	3.24	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Leon Powe	27	25	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	18	-11	19.4	15.5	3.91	13.7	17.0	-3.34
Tony Allen	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	19	-13	18.7	14.9	3.83	14.1	17.7	-3.61
Eddie House	38	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	24	-23	19.0	14.9	4.12	14.5	17.2	-2.65
Brian Scalabrine	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	17	-9	18.0	16.2	1.80	13.0	17.0	-3.97
Gabe Pruitt	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	31	-37	18.9	15.9	2.94	12.8	17.2	-4.33
Patrick O'Bryant	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	17.6	16.5	1.12	13.1	16.5	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, UTA 128	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
PHI 98, NOP 135	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
DEN 87, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%