NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	87		Excitement	1.9 [1249]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +7.3%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.1 [1214]		LVP	George McCloud (DEN): -10.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.01	0.09	8	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mengke Bateer	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	12	52%	-0.02	7	-0.07	9	78%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.18	-0.00	-0.08	6	21%	-0.04	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	12	76%	0.08	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	9	68%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	8	47%	0.01	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	18	52%	0.00	3	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	10	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	43%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.0	28.3	15.3	29.5	1.8	26.2	134.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +12.1%

WAS +9.9%

WAS +4.9%

WAS +21.3%

WAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	WAS	NBA	DEN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.6	92.6	108.4	102.3
season	16.1	16.5		99.7	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.0	15.9	14.7	14.2	15.2
WAS	14.7	12.9	16.0	17.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	27	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-24	32	14.5	15.5	-0.99	16.6	14.7	1.87
Mengke Bateer	47	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-17	18	15.1	15.4	-0.32	14.4	16.1	-1.65
Ryan Bowen	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-6	-4	14.6	15.9	-1.23	15.3	15.2	0.02
Zendon Hamilton	13	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-4	-8	18.4	14.7	3.67	14.6	15.4	-0.74
George McCloud	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-4	-8	15.6	14.7	0.87	14.3	16.6	-2.37
Calbert Cheaney	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	15.9	14.6	1.35	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Kenny Satterfield	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-7	-2	15.0	15.5	-0.53	15.8	14.7	1.11
Voshon Lenard	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-11	6	15.0	16.0	-1.03	15.7	13.7	2.00
Juwan Howard	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	4	-24	15.1	15.5	-0.42	15.3	15.1	0.23
Donnell Harvey	53	52	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	15.3	15.2	0.09	15.4	15.1	0.29

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	67	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	-4	24	14.5	17.1	-2.58	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Popeye Jones	44	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	2	12	14.3	16.1	-1.83	16.0	14.4	1.55
Chris Whitney	67	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	4	8	15.4	14.9	0.46	15.4	14.8	0.63
Michael Jordan	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	1	14	16.6	14.4	2.20	16.3	14.5	1.80
Kwame Brown	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	9	-2	16.6	13.9	2.66	15.3	15.2	0.11
Tyrone Nesby	56	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	14	-12	16.0	14.2	1.82	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Courtney Alexander	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	15	-14	14.4	16.6	-2.20	14.5	16.3	-1.80
Christian Laettner	26	24	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	6	4	14.3	15.6	-1.35	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Etan Thomas	52	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	20	-24	16.0	14.4	1.61	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Jahidi White	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	13	-10	13.7	15.7	-1.97	15.5	15.1	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 99, CLE 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
LAL 85, SAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
WAS 83, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%