NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	2.3 [1271]		MVP	Kyle Korver (UTA): +9.6%
Utah Jazz	128		Comeback	1.0 [1306]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -13.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	17	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	56%	0.04	4	-0.03	15	80%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	15	35%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Hunter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.04	11	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	12	92%	0.01
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	0.06	16	43%	-0.08	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.06	12	81%	0.10	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	14	86%	0.11	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	9	75%	0.08	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	58%	0.06	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	13	56%	0.05	2	-0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	10	31%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.6	34.9	19.3	29.3	3.0	33.0	152.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +39.2%

UTA +5.5%

UTA +2.5%

UTA +2.8%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	13.3	13.7	15.3	96.3	121.9	106.0
season	13.4	15.3		106.5	109.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		104.5	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.3	14.2	12.0	15.3	13.3
UTA	10.9	14.1	15.2	15.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.29	-15	-9	-6	13.8	12.8	1.02	14.8	12.7	2.14
Devean George	61	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-13	2	13.4	13.2	0.26	14.3	13.0	1.32
Anthony Morrow	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-18	12	13.7	12.8	0.98	14.8	12.3	2.54
Chris Hunter	34	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-8	-8	13.5	13.2	0.31	12.2	14.4	-2.22
Corey Maggette	77	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.30	-22	-2	-20	13.5	12.8	0.71	12.8	15.9	-3.08
Reggie Williams	85	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-5	-14	13.5	12.7	0.73	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	92	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	-9	-6	12.6	17.6	-4.99	14.0	12.6	1.37
Stephen Curry	79	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	-8	-8	12.9	14.3	-1.36	13.0	15.7	-2.75

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	73	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.32	26	-2	28	12.9	15.6	-2.72	12.6	15.1	-2.48
Wesley Matthews	73	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.30	24	0	24	13.2	14.9	-1.64	13.2	13.7	-0.53
Paul Millsap	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	4	16	14.0	13.4	0.63	14.0	12.5	1.55
Carlos Boozer	66	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	6	12	12.7	15.5	-2.83	13.0	13.8	-0.79
Kyle Korver	54	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.28	21	3	18	14.0	13.4	0.63	14.7	11.9	2.80
Mehmet Okur	65	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.31	20	4	16	13.8	13.6	0.18	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Ronnie Price	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	20	-16	15.5	12.7	2.73	14.2	12.8	1.39
CJ Miles	54	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	17	-10	13.2	14.3	-1.17	13.2	13.5	-0.32
Othyus Jeffers	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	28	-32	15.5	13.5	1.92	11.9	13.5	-1.56
Sundiata Gaines	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	15.9	13.5	2.47	11.5	13.5	-1.97
Kosta Koufos	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	15.9	13.5	2.47	11.5	13.5	-1.97
Kyrylo Fesenko	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	16.2	13.5	2.72	13.6	13.3	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 82, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
WAS 83, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
UTA 91, LAL 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%