inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 86 Excitement7.0 [433] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +28.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 93 Comeback6.9 [425] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -16.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.10.030.070.002551%0.162-0.06771%-0.01
Daequan Cook0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.050.080.000.03867%0.0500.002100%0.01
Joel Anthony-0.000,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Marcus Banks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.041136%0.012-0.05333%-0.03
Udonis Haslem-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.060.011165%0.124-0.181100%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.06-0.01633%-0.014-0.1500%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.08-0.01726%-0.092-0.07560%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.280.280.170.09-0.021966%0.342-0.061258%-0.05
Mo Williams0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.030.12-0.011462%0.254-0.094100%0.02
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.040.01944%0.051-0.04786%0.03
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00850%0.032-0.05850%-0.05
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.01945%0.013-0.10475%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.06-0.03520%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.011025%-0.052-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.61.828.015.425.32.544.4146.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +23.4%
CLE +8.0%
CLE +14.1%
CLE +3.7%
CLE +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game14.316.015.589.698.9106.4
season16.016.9105.9110.6
opponent15.215.7101.0105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.013.214.612.714.3
CLE14.318.116.715.116.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Banks28280.16-0.660.82-0.057-142114.214.3-0.1616.815.71.06
Joel Anthony27270.14-0.640.770.053-101316.913.33.6117.115.61.50
Yakhouba Diawara10110.01-0.510.52-0.021-8915.114.20.9017.715.81.91
Jamaal Magloire2422-0.10-0.400.31-0.04-2-5315.114.01.0616.715.80.89
Daequan Cook4141-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-70-712.515.7-3.1915.816.2-0.38
Shawn Marion7572-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.20-6-1-514.214.6-0.4216.315.31.01
Dwyane Wade8077-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.29-4-3-114.214.6-0.4015.816.9-1.10
Udonis Haslem7473-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.21-70-714.812.72.0915.518.0-2.58
Michael Beasley5353-0.530.03-0.55-0.35-6-1-513.415.3-1.9115.816.4-0.57
Mario Chalmers6866-0.660.16-0.82-0.25-147-2114.314.20.1615.716.8-1.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace55570.79-0.291.070.3216-92515.916.2-0.3213.914.8-0.89
Mo Williams67690.72-0.220.950.3413-61916.016.1-0.1514.713.11.59
Anderson Varejao65650.53-0.030.550.3852316.315.40.8613.216.5-3.24
LeBron James83860.51-0.010.520.288-1915.817.7-1.9114.215.1-0.90
Delonte West73740.460.040.420.3152315.717.3-1.6013.915.7-1.80
Zydrunas Ilgauskas50520.010.49-0.47-0.0425-316.215.80.3816.511.74.73
Daniel Gibson4747-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-29-1116.615.51.0214.314.20.10
Sasha Pavlovic3030-0.390.89-1.28-0.04-1219-3116.216.00.2313.714.6-0.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.47,0.67,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 70, LAL 730.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.84,192.3%
ATL 90, MIL 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.41,0.6,0.72,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.91,191.7%
GSW 94, MEM 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.62,0.85,0.85,0.99,191.2%