NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	7.2 [387]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +24.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	9.3 [113]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -31.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	11	65%	0.20	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.06
Al Horford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	9	81%	0.26	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Maurice Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.29,-0.32	-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	20	33%	-0.20	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.16	-0.00	11	68%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.10	0.02	11	67%	0.19	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	5	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.05	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	12	31%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	24.4	15.4	27.4	2.4	34.6	132.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +41.1%

ATL -19.2%

MIL +11.7%

MIL +15.8%

MIL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.5	98.9	107.7	105.7
season	16.5	16.2		104.0	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	15.1	14.8	18.7	15.9
MIL	16.1	15.5	16.5	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	27	26	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-11	14	15.9	15.9	-0.04	14.2	16.4	-2.15
Zaza Pachulia	20	20	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-11	14	16.3	15.7	0.60	14.2	16.2	-2.01
Jason Collins	24	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-4	0	15.7	15.9	-0.18	18.4	14.8	3.68
Maurice Evans	26	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-3	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.05	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Marvin Williams	26	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-2	-4	17.2	15.3	1.89	13.6	16.6	-2.97
Jamal Crawford	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-9	10	16.0	15.6	0.46	15.0	17.8	-2.80
Josh Smith	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-9	10	15.2	19.2	-4.09	16.1	14.2	1.96
Joe Johnson	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	16.2	15.3	0.86	16.4	14.5	1.84
Al Horford	74	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	5	-18	15.7	16.5	-0.73	16.0	14.8	1.24
Mike Bibby	58	58	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.30	-14	6	-20	15.8	15.9	-0.09	16.6	14.4	2.16

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	34	32	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.42	11	-3	14	15.1	16.2	-1.09	17.8	14.8	3.03
Earl Boykins	50	50	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-1	10	15.3	16.4	-1.13	16.3	15.4	0.89
Corey Maggette	45	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	0	8	17.1	14.4	2.70	16.7	15.0	1.70
Andrew Bogut	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	3	2	16.1	15.0	1.13	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Carlos Delfino	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	3	2	15.0	17.5	-2.52	15.9	15.9	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	48	47	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	-2	12	15.3	16.3	-1.05	14.9	16.9	-2.04
Chris Douglas-Roberts	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	3	2	16.8	14.8	2.02	15.3	16.4	-1.18
Larry Sanders	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	5	-2	15.0	16.1	-1.13	16.2	15.8	0.38
Keyon Dooling	42	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.13	1	7	-6	16.0	15.6	0.43	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Luc Mbah a Moute	42	43	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.06	-15	23	-38	15.2	16.3	-1.07	14.9	16.7	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.41,0.6,0.72,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.47,0.67,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.95,1	91.7%
UTA 86, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.47,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.63,0.9,0.84,1	91.1%
MIN 91, NOP 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.28,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.95,1	91.0%