NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	70		Excitement	7.6 [250]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +43.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	73		Comeback	3.1 [433]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -24.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07	-0.05	0.09	-0.03	10	35%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	10	32%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.00	17	52%	0.09	3	-0.27	6	83%	0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.17	-0.08	-0.00	9	15%	-0.12	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.44	0.44	0.08	0.37	0.01	9	65%	0.44	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	13	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	11	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.06	-0.04	22	31%	-0.09	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	28.4	19.5	27.9	1.8	41.1	146.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.7%

LAL +5.3%

DAL -21.5%

LAL +31.3%

LAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.7	15.6	79.5	82.0	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		101.6	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	19.2	16.5	17.4	16.8
LAL	13.7	16.8	19.5	13.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	47	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-2	1	16.3	17.4	-1.16	16.3	15.2	1.12
Brendan Haywood	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	17.7	16.1	1.57	15.9	15.6	0.39
Delonte West	33	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-3	3	17.3	16.5	0.73	16.0	15.6	0.44
Vince Carter	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-1	-1	15.8	17.4	-1.65	16.1	15.5	0.58
Ian Mahinmi	45	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-2	1	15.8	17.8	-1.99	15.6	15.8	-0.17
Shawn Marion	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	0	-3	17.4	15.4	1.98	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Jason Kidd	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	1	-5	16.8	16.8	0.08	15.1	17.2	-2.01
Jason Terry	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	16.7	17.0	-0.26	15.9	15.4	0.49
Dirk Nowitzki	58	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.55	0	-3	3	17.2	16.1	1.04	15.6	16.1	-0.55

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	71	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-2	7	15.3	17.3	-2.01	17.0	16.1	0.98
Derek Fisher	57	55	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	15.5	16.1	-0.57	16.9	16.6	0.29
Matt Barnes	48	47	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	3	-3	15.2	16.3	-1.04	17.6	15.9	1.67
Pau Gasol	66	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	2	-1	15.5	16.5	-1.07	16.7	17.3	-0.60
Andrew Bynum	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.19	4	-1	5	16.2	14.3	1.98	16.9	16.6	0.34
Josh McRoberts	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	2	-1	15.4	16.1	-0.70	16.9	16.7	0.20
Jason Kapono	28	28	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	0	3	16.1	15.5	0.60	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Darius Morris	32	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	4	-5	16.1	15.5	0.57	16.6	16.9	-0.29
Metta World Peace	31	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	5	-7	17.0	15.0	2.00	15.3	17.7	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1	92.9%
CHI 93, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.94,0.92,1	92.7%
GSW 100, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.5%