NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	6.8 [435]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +19.2%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	2.6 [790]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -20.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	11	74%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Steve Goodrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	25	54%	0.03	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.00	-0.12	0.01	10	64%	0.06	3	-0.19	5	80%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	8	50%	-0.05	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.05
Jamal Crawford	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	8	72%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	9	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.06	0.02	18	64%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	18	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	29.5	16.5	26.4	2.4	34.4	132.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +13.0%

CHI -9.5%

CHI -1.6%

IND +49.3%

CHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	17.8	15.5	15.5	108.1	114.9	100.9
season	16.4	15.9		95.2	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		99.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.1	18.3	18.7	18.4	17.8
IND	14.6	16.8	16.4	14.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Fizer	61	59	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.06	9	-16	25	17.6	18.4	-0.85	16.2	13.9	2.38
Jamal Crawford	35	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-7	7	17.3	18.2	-0.83	16.1	15.1	1.00
Jake Voskuhl	3	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-3	-1	18.3	17.8	0.51	18.7	15.3	3.44
Steve Goodrich	28	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-3	-1	18.0	17.7	0.29	15.9	15.3	0.61
Corey Benjamin	5	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	0	-7	22.0	17.6	4.42	16.2	15.4	0.77
Metta World Peace	71	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-11	15	17.6	19.0	-1.41	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Elton Brand	75	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-6	5	17.8	18.4	-0.60	15.1	17.7	-2.64
A.J. Guyton	25	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	18.1	17.7	0.40	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Fred Hoiberg	74	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	3	-13	17.9	17.7	0.10	15.3	16.9	-1.65
Brad Miller	53	56	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.30	-17	10	-27	18.2	17.2	0.97	15.0	16.4	-1.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	52	51	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-9	25	15.9	14.8	1.12	18.7	16.5	2.18
Austin Croshere	45	44	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-4	15	16.2	14.7	1.46	18.5	17.2	1.31
Jalen Rose	79	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-1	9	15.4	16.2	-0.86	17.5	20.8	-3.28
Travis Best	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	4	-1	16.0	14.5	1.43	18.5	16.7	1.81
Derrick McKey	20	19	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-2	11	14.2	15.8	-1.59	16.3	18.3	-1.95
Reggie Miller	70	69	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	9	-11	15.1	17.1	-2.05	17.7	18.3	-0.57
Jermaine O'Neal	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	5	-3	14.7	15.8	-1.11	18.2	17.7	0.46
Al Harrington	39	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	12	-17	14.5	16.2	-1.69	16.8	18.7	-1.81
Zan Tabak	16	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	16.7	15.2	1.49	16.9	18.1	-1.12
Sam Perkins	34	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.04	-5	12	-17	15.8	15.3	0.53	17.8	17.8	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.98,1	92.9%
DAL 70, LAL 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.84,1	92.7%
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	92.1%