NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	5.2 [770]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +19.2%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.6 [123]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (LAL): -11.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	15	64%	0.14	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	25	49%	0.05	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.05	10	20%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	13	70%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	7	83%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	7	72%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	5	70%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	18	54%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	13	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	28.6	17.3	27.4	2.5	32.6	134.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +29.9%

SAC +0.5%

SAC +4.4%

SAC +17.1%

LAL -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	15.5	15.5	103.1	115.3	106.4
season	14.9	15.0		110.6	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		112.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.2	13.2	14.6	11.5	13.9
SAC	12.2	17.5	14.8	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	12.8	14.0	-1.17	16.2	15.4	0.80
Josh Powell	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	7.5	14.3	-6.83	17.0	15.4	1.62
Sasha Vujacic	21	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-15	18	11.8	14.5	-2.73	15.1	15.6	-0.46
Jordan Farmar	35	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-17	22	11.4	15.3	-3.86	16.0	15.2	0.79
Andrew Bynum	41	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-3	-6	16.6	11.9	4.69	14.2	16.3	-2.12
Vladimir Radmanovic	45	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-6	0	14.7	13.2	1.48	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Trevor Ariza	53	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-6	0	13.2	14.7	-1.48	15.6	15.3	0.29
Lamar Odom	56	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-7	2	12.9	15.2	-2.33	16.1	14.6	1.44
Derek Fisher	63	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	5	-22	15.3	11.4	3.86	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Kobe Bryant	77	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	3	-18	14.5	11.8	2.73	15.6	15.1	0.46
Pau Gasol	88	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	2	-16	13.8	15.1	-1.33	15.5	15.1	0.42

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	79	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	1	10	15.3	16.3	-1.04	14.4	11.8	2.59
Bobby Jackson	38	36	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	16.6	14.8	1.84	12.7	14.6	-1.83
Francisco Garcia	73	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	3	6	15.8	14.5	1.34	14.2	13.0	1.17
Brad Miller	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	3	6	15.6	15.3	0.31	14.7	12.4	2.28
Beno Udrih	60	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	0	12	15.1	16.0	-0.89	14.6	12.9	1.70
Mikki Moore	28	28	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	5	2	16.4	15.1	1.28	13.9	13.9	0.03
Jason Thompson	35	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	9	-6	15.7	15.3	0.37	12.6	14.6	-2.01
Spencer Hawes	68	69	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	7	-2	14.9	16.8	-1.95	13.8	14.1	-0.28
Donte Greene	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	9	-6	14.5	15.8	-1.34	13.0	14.2	-1.17
Bobby Brown	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.18	-10	22	-32	15.2	15.6	-0.40	12.1	14.3	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 97, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,1,1,1	93.9%
DEN 103, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%