NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	4.3 [961]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +6.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	78		Comeback	1.9 [831]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -17.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	65%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	62%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	8	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.01	0.11	9	64%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	57%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	18%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	22%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	65%	-0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	19	47%	-0.01	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	11	32%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	12	17%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	29.3	15.6	28.3	2.5	29.4	133.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +66.3%

MIN -18.7%

BOS +7.5%

MIN -4.6%

MIN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	15.5	102.2	82.1	106.4
season	15.8	15.8		108.3	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		109.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	14.3	17.2	15.8	15.0
MIN	15.2	16.4	17.0	14.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	61	61	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.11	25	-8	33	14.2	16.4	-2.15	16.8	13.6	3.19
Kevin Garnett	56	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.16	24	-7	31	14.2	16.1	-1.80	16.9	13.8	3.08
Ray Allen	60	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-2	21	14.4	15.9	-1.46	16.5	14.0	2.51
Paul Pierce	64	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-4	25	14.6	15.8	-1.20	16.5	14.1	2.41
Leon Powe	37	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	3	11	15.2	14.8	0.46	16.1	15.4	0.78
Kendrick Perkins	34	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	12	-7	14.7	15.1	-0.46	15.4	15.8	-0.49
Tony Allen	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	14	-11	15.9	14.2	1.63	13.9	17.0	-3.11
Glen Davis	43	45	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	25	-33	15.4	14.6	0.80	14.0	17.1	-3.12
Patrick O'Bryant	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	16.2	14.8	1.40	17.0	15.5	1.46
Gabe Pruitt	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	16.2	14.8	1.40	17.0	15.5	1.46
Brian Scalabrine	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	25	-33	15.8	14.6	1.17	14.0	16.3	-2.31
Eddie House	25	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	23	-29	16.6	14.4	2.23	12.6	16.8	-4.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	24	24	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-24	31	14.8	15.9	-1.11	15.2	14.9	0.32
Corey Brewer	28	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-20	23	12.5	17.0	-4.54	16.4	14.3	2.10
Mark Madsen	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	12.7	15.8	-3.04	16.7	14.9	1.86
Brian Cardinal	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	17.0	15.5	1.46	17.6	14.8	2.82
Craig Smith	44	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	-11	5	14.5	16.6	-2.08	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Kevin Love	52	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-16	15	14.7	16.8	-2.06	15.9	13.9	1.93
Jason Collins	25	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-7	-3	16.8	15.2	1.60	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Sebastian Telfair	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-1	-15	15.5	15.8	-0.28	15.4	14.4	0.92
Randy Foye	59	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	15.7	15.5	0.22	15.0	14.9	0.03
Mike Miller	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-1	-15	16.2	14.7	1.49	14.4	16.1	-1.74
Al Jefferson	61	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.10	-21	4	-25	16.6	14.0	2.64	14.1	16.6	-2.47
Ryan Gomes	54	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.09	-22	5	-27	17.3	13.5	3.87	14.3	15.8	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 118, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DET 107, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
NYK 94, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	94.8%