NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	107		Excitement	3.7 [1085]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (DET): +10.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	1.9 [341]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -15.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.02	-0.05	15	48%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.06	5	120%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.01	0.09	20	63%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	54%	0.08	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bracey Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	24	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.03	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	27.8	16.5	20.6	2.3	30.9	122.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.6%

MIN -0.7%

DET +7.0%

DET +12.1%

DET +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.6	116.3	92.2	104.4
season	16.9	16.1		108.3	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		103.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.1	17.4	15.0	13.5	15.9
MIN	16.9	13.9	17.7	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	63	61	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.29	34	-10	44	17.1	13.2	3.87	17.3	12.5	4.78
Tayshaun Prince	73	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.37	33	-9	42	16.7	12.9	3.78	16.8	11.9	4.83
Rasheed Wallace	59	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.30	28	-4	32	17.1	13.7	3.47	16.7	13.9	2.83
Ben Wallace	57	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	10	4	17.5	13.2	4.30	17.2	13.5	3.67
Richard Hamilton	45	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	15	-6	17.6	14.2	3.39	16.5	15.0	1.52
Maurice Evans	55	52	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	14	-4	14.8	17.5	-2.76	14.6	17.3	-2.65
Antonio McDyess	43	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.31	13	11	2	15.7	16.0	-0.28	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Darko Milicic	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	9.7	17.0	-7.29	10.2	16.7	-6.55
Amir Johnson	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	9.2	16.8	-7.62	11.4	16.4	-5.00
Jason Maxiell	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	9.2	16.8	-7.62	11.4	16.4	-5.00
Carlos Arroyo	29	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	34	-44	13.2	17.1	-3.87	12.5	17.3	-4.78

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	28	28	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-31	38	12.7	17.1	-4.36	13.1	17.1	-4.05
Anthony Carter	45	45	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-23	22	14.5	17.0	-2.49	14.4	17.4	-3.01
Bracey Wright	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	12.0	16.5	-4.51	9.6	17.2	-7.66
Rashad McCants	49	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.21	-8	-16	8	14.8	17.0	-2.20	14.5	17.5	-2.95
Ronald Dupree	28	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.20	-9	-15	6	14.8	16.2	-1.41	13.5	17.1	-3.63
Trenton Hassell	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-14	4	16.4	14.8	1.59	17.3	13.6	3.70
Kevin Garnett	61	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	-5	-14	16.9	13.3	3.66	17.4	12.6	4.88
Marko Jaric	45	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.13	-23	-1	-22	17.0	14.5	2.49	17.4	14.4	3.01
Eddie Griffin	53	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.21	-27	3	-30	16.7	14.4	2.29	17.2	14.0	3.22
Wally Szczerbiak	70	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.29	-31	7	-38	16.6	12.7	3.93	16.9	12.4	4.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, MIN 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAS 108, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
NJN 91, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%