NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	4.2 [986]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +12.1%
Miami Heat	81		Comeback	1.8 [723]		LVP	Antoine Walker (MIA): -11.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.05	14	69%	0.18	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.01	-0.07	18	57%	0.14	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	10	77%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	89%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Hite	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	63%	0.07	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Dorell Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.05	15	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	40%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	30.1	15.5	29.9	1.8	27.4	129.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +37.3%

NJN +2.1%

MIA -5.5%

NJN +13.6%

NJN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.4	104.6	92.0	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		103.1	102.4
opponent	15.6	15.7		104.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	15.8	15.1	21.6	16.6
MIA	16.5	15.5	17.6	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	69	68	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.03	27	-17	44	16.2	18.3	-2.06	16.9	14.2	2.68
Jason Kidd	69	69	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.09	22	-12	34	16.6	16.8	-0.17	16.9	14.1	2.83
Jason Collins	41	43	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.04	24	-14	38	16.8	16.5	0.26	17.9	14.7	3.15
Mikki Moore	40	41	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-3	16	15.3	17.8	-2.53	17.9	14.9	2.96
Vince Carter	72	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	7	-4	16.5	17.3	-0.75	16.3	16.2	0.09
Bostjan Nachbar	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	9	-8	17.2	15.7	1.51	15.3	17.8	-2.54
Eddie House	15	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	10	-10	15.7	16.8	-1.10	14.9	16.6	-1.72
Marcus Williams	25	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	19	-28	17.9	16.1	1.73	14.3	17.0	-2.73
Antoine Wright	8	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	20	-30	19.6	16.3	3.28	12.8	16.7	-3.92
Josh Boone	34	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.25	-14	24	-38	17.0	16.4	0.58	14.6	17.2	-2.56
Hassan Adams	10	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	17	-24	17.2	16.6	0.63	15.6	16.4	-0.76

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	27	27	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-15	20	15.4	16.7	-1.25	15.6	17.1	-1.58
Chris Quinn	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	6.5	16.5	-10.00	24.0	16.6	7.44
Robert Hite	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	6.5	16.5	-10.00	24.0	16.6	7.44
Jason Williams	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-10	10	16.9	13.8	3.10	17.1	14.8	2.35
Antoine Walker	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-12	14	15.1	19.6	-4.46	17.0	15.7	1.29
Gary Payton	42	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	0	-10	15.6	16.9	-1.34	15.9	17.3	-1.41
Jason Kapono	55	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	16.6	15.7	0.87	17.5	15.5	2.00
Dorell Wright	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	16.5	15.1	1.43	16.7	16.0	0.75
Udonis Haslem	52	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	3	-16	16.7	15.6	1.17	15.9	17.7	-1.79
Alonzo Mourning	52	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.01	-19	9	-28	17.5	14.6	2.91	16.2	17.3	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DET 107, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
IND 99, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%