NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	5.2 [780]		MVP	Gerald Green (IND): +13.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Comeback	1.6 [805]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -21.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	-0.00	6	87%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Roy Hibbert	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	12	69%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	8	80%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04
George Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	13	34%	-0.03	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	52%	0.08	3	-0.09	5	40%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	12	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	13	43%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.14,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.06	0.02	16	44%	-0.06	6	-0.15	7	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	27.5	15.6	28.2	2.5	33.5	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.8%

IND +2.8%

IND +12.6%

IND +0.5%

CLE -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.4	102.1	91.8	104.1
season	16.1	15.5		102.4	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		107.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.8	16.4	12.5	16.4	15.4
CLE	14.6	16.4	13.2	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-9	28	15.2	15.8	-0.57	14.3	14.4	-0.08
David West	68	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-7	24	14.6	17.1	-2.55	14.7	13.5	1.14
George Hill	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.02	17	-7	24	15.5	14.9	0.58	14.7	13.4	1.32
Lance Stephenson	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	14.7	16.8	-2.09	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Roy Hibbert	47	50	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	-2	14	14.9	15.8	-0.85	14.7	14.0	0.74
Ian Mahinmi	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	6	-2	15.8	14.9	0.86	14.5	14.2	0.38
Gerald Green	31	30	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	12	-14	16.8	14.7	2.09	14.8	14.1	0.67
Ben Hansbrough	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	17	-24	14.9	15.5	-0.58	13.4	14.7	-1.32
Jeff Ayres	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	15.2	15.4	-0.10	5.3	14.6	-9.29
Miles Plumlee	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	15.2	15.4	-0.10	5.3	14.6	-9.29
Tyler Hansbrough	25	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	17.4	14.6	2.81	14.5	14.3	0.27
Sam Young	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.22	-9	19	-28	15.8	15.2	0.57	14.4	14.3	0.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Jones	17	16	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.22	11	-21	32	13.1	14.6	-1.48	18.7	14.7	4.07
Omri Casspi	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	5.3	14.6	-9.29	20.3	15.2	5.14
Jeremy Pargo	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	5.3	14.6	-9.29	20.3	15.2	5.14
CJ Miles	27	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-5	0	16.0	13.7	2.30	17.0	14.7	2.27
Samardo Samuels	36	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-13	16	13.3	15.0	-1.69	15.7	15.1	0.59
Dion Waiters	59	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	15.3	12.8	2.46	15.4	15.2	0.25
Alonzo Gee	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	2	-14	14.1	14.9	-0.86	14.4	17.3	-2.85
Daniel Gibson	59	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	14.0	14.9	-0.91	15.8	14.7	1.06
Tyler Zeller	73	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	3	-16	14.2	14.7	-0.49	14.6	17.4	-2.83
Kyrie Irving	73	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	3	-16	14.2	14.7	-0.49	14.7	17.2	-2.44
Tristan Thompson	68	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	11	-32	15.3	12.0	3.34	15.1	15.9	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 110, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
PHI 102, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NJN 91, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%