NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	5.2 [761]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +14.2%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	2.3 [536]		LVP	Tariq Abdul-Wahad (ORL): -20.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	19	61%	0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	13	58%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	7	53%	0.04	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	16	50%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	15	47%	0.03	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.06	10	70%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	44%	-0.05	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-0.00	17	28%	-0.15	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.04	-0.00	15	28%	-0.12	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.0	28.1	17.8	27.2	2.5	38.6	143.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +63.0%

NYK +2.3%

ORL -33.3%

NYK +15.3%

NYK +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.2	97.9	87.8	101.7
season	16.1	13.6		100.0	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.8		99.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	14.9	14.1	16.0	15.1
ORL	13.5	14.5	17.2	13.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	86	88	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-5	18	14.7	18.4	-3.69	14.6	14.6	0.00
Patrick Ewing	66	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-3	14	14.6	16.1	-1.46	14.4	15.1	-0.77
Larry Johnson	57	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-4	16	15.6	14.4	1.24	15.4	13.3	2.10
Allan Houston	84	84	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	14.7	17.9	-3.23	14.9	13.1	1.79
Charlie Ward	39	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	1	6	14.3	15.6	-1.28	15.6	13.9	1.69
Chris Childs	58	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	7	-6	15.5	14.4	1.11	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Marcus Camby	47	47	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.14	-1	9	-10	15.4	14.8	0.65	15.0	14.3	0.72
Kurt Thomas	43	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.16	-6	14	-20	16.4	14.0	2.40	13.0	15.8	-2.77

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kiwane Garris	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	10.0	14.6	-4.65	11.0	15.1	-4.14
Pat Garrity	39	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-14	20	14.5	14.7	-0.23	15.2	15.0	0.14
Chucky Atkins	32	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-7	6	14.2	14.8	-0.57	15.7	14.8	0.89
Chris Gatling	44	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-7	6	14.0	15.1	-1.18	15.3	14.9	0.46
Michael Doleac	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	9.5	15.1	-5.56	18.4	14.8	3.60
Monty Williams	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-2	-4	14.1	14.9	-0.82	16.9	14.0	2.87
Bo Outlaw	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-10	12	13.4	17.8	-4.43	15.4	14.2	1.26
Ben Wallace	56	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-13	18	14.9	14.2	0.68	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Corey Maggette	40	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	16.2	13.5	2.74	13.8	15.9	-2.10
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	50	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	15.6	13.6	1.96	14.3	15.9	-1.65
Darrell Armstrong	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	1	-10	14.7	14.3	0.48	14.3	16.8	-2.48
John Amaechi	45	43	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.01	-17	9	-26	15.9	13.5	2.38	15.7	14.6	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
SEA 99, CHA 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
BOS 95, MIN 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%