NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	7.1 [401]		MVP	James Posey (NOH): +40.4%
New Orleans Hornets	87		Comeback	1.8 [823]		LVP	Brandon Roy (POR): -11.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Oden	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.13	0.00	3	92%	0.23	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Rudy Fernandez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.12	-0.06	16	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	4	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	0.04	-0.12	0.04	17	52%	-0.08	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.22,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.12	0.28	-0.00	9	78%	0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.09	0.03	12	52%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	14	56%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.4	28.2	15.4	24.4	2.7	36.8	131.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +34.0%

POR -5.2%

NOH +6.9%

NOH +9.0%

NOH +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	17.3	18.1	15.5	100.0	107.4	106.4
season	16.7	16.6		111.0	105.9
opponent	15.6	16.0		106.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.4	18.5	18.8	14.6	17.3
NOH	16.1	20.5	16.3	19.7	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-1	-3	17.7	16.9	0.85	16.7	19.3	-2.59
Travis Outlaw	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-4	3	18.0	17.0	1.05	17.0	18.5	-1.46
Nicolas Batum	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.16	-10	5	-15	18.8	16.7	2.04	15.6	19.0	-3.33
Channing Frye	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-5	5	16.6	17.4	-0.80	19.3	17.7	1.56
Steve Blake	39	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-7	9	16.1	18.3	-2.25	18.0	18.1	-0.17
Brandon Roy	72	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-10	15	17.2	18.1	-0.93	18.3	16.5	1.75
Sergio Rodriguez	41	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	2	-9	18.3	16.3	2.02	18.3	17.9	0.42
Greg Oden	41	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	17.0	17.6	-0.66	19.5	16.7	2.80
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	17.6	15.7	1.98	17.9	18.7	-0.82
Rudy Fernandez	51	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	-1	-3	16.2	19.0	-2.82	18.9	16.8	2.09

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	62	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	17.3	20.4	-3.08	17.3	17.1	0.24
Peja Stojakovic	52	53	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	18.2	17.8	0.42	17.6	16.7	0.86
David West	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	2	1	17.9	18.7	-0.81	17.2	17.6	-0.42
Tyson Chandler	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	2	1	17.7	19.4	-1.71	17.3	17.2	0.15
James Posey	50	50	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	5	-5	19.3	16.1	3.24	16.1	19.2	-3.13
Morris Peterson	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	0	5	16.1	19.3	-3.24	19.2	16.1	3.13
Hilton Armstrong	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	3	-1	19.4	17.7	1.71	17.2	17.3	-0.15
Julian Wright	19	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	3	-1	18.7	17.9	0.81	17.6	17.2	0.42
Rasual Butler	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	19.0	17.7	1.37	16.9	17.4	-0.51
Devin Brown	25	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	11	-17	18.6	17.8	0.84	16.8	17.5	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.55,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	92.3%
CHI 82, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,1	91.6%
CLE 95, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,1	91.5%