NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	4.8 [872]		MVP	Matt Barnes (PHX): +16.6%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	2.5 [821]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): -10.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	-0.03	0.09	13	71%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	18	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	18	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	12	75%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.00	12	68%	0.22	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	8	76%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.01	0.06	10	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	82%	0.11	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.6	28.2	15.7	27.2	2.5	33.5	134.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.5%

PHX +13.7%

POR -0.2%

POR -3.1%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.6	15.2	15.5	110.3	120.2	106.4
season	16.7	14.1		111.0	112.1
opponent	15.5	16.0		109.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.2	16.6	18.3	16.2	17.6
PHX	14.4	14.7	14.4	17.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	29	30	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.18	10	-21	31	16.7	18.0	-1.36	16.0	14.8	1.17
Nicolas Batum	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.19	10	-21	31	16.7	18.1	-1.36	15.7	14.9	0.83
Sergio Rodriguez	23	25	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-17	23	17.6	17.6	0.00	16.6	14.6	1.96
Rudy Fernandez	42	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.22	8	-19	27	15.9	19.1	-3.16	15.4	15.0	0.43
Ike Diogu	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-12	13	12.7	17.7	-5.07	8.7	15.4	-6.75
Jerryd Bayless	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-12	13	18.5	17.4	1.06	20.1	14.6	5.47
Travis Outlaw	68	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-6	1	17.0	19.6	-2.65	15.0	16.1	-1.08
Joel Przybilla	49	49	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	9	-29	19.0	15.7	3.38	14.8	15.6	-0.83
Steve Blake	55	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.01	-21	10	-31	18.2	16.4	1.83	14.7	16.1	-1.38
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	56	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.01	-22	11	-33	18.3	16.3	2.03	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Brandon Roy	67	68	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.08	-23	12	-35	17.8	16.7	1.12	14.5	17.3	-2.74

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	54	54	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.02	23	-12	35	14.7	15.9	-1.19	18.9	15.3	3.64
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.00	22	-11	33	14.6	19.2	-4.60	17.5	17.7	-0.22
Matt Barnes	66	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-7	25	15.4	14.7	0.67	17.9	16.6	1.30
Raja Bell	63	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.03	21	-10	31	14.1	17.9	-3.81	17.4	17.9	-0.47
Steve Nash	59	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.09	23	-12	35	14.2	17.2	-3.03	17.7	17.4	0.28
Grant Hill	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	16	-21	16.3	14.5	1.85	17.4	17.7	-0.23
Leandro Barbosa	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	19	-27	17.0	14.3	2.68	18.5	17.1	1.38
Boris Diaw	40	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.29	-14	25	-39	16.8	13.9	2.97	16.1	18.7	-2.60
Lou Amundson	7	6	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.08	-9	20	-29	16.3	15.1	1.19	14.8	17.8	-2.93
Goran Dragic	14	13	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.11	-16	27	-43	17.1	14.8	2.23	14.4	18.1	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
POR 88, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
TOR 96, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.8%