NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	6.5 [512]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +24.4%
New Orleans Hornets	104		Comeback	2.6 [535]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -26.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	7	60%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	11	69%	0.20	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Daniel Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.05	0.02	15	37%	-0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.14	0.01	15	44%	-0.06	5	-0.20	4	75%	-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	-0.00	13	65%	0.26	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.04
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.12	0.03	8	70%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.01	7	94%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	20	56%	0.09	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	5	80%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	30.2	15.6	27.3	2.5	33.5	137.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -0.3%

NOH +18.4%

NOH +1.5%

NOH +29.3%

NOH +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOH	NBA	CLE	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	15.5	95.8	111.8	106.4
season	16.9	16.6		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		106.0	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	14.7	17.3	14.1	15.2
NOH	16.1	13.0	17.0	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	43	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-10	8	14.5	15.8	-1.32	16.8	14.1	2.68
Ben Wallace	43	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-13	14	15.5	15.0	0.45	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Sasha Pavlovic	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-10	8	20.6	14.8	5.75	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-13	14	15.5	14.8	0.64	15.4	14.8	0.60
JJ Hickson	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-6	0	16.7	15.1	1.65	15.2	15.2	0.01
Daniel Gibson	66	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-5	-2	14.1	17.7	-3.58	15.1	15.6	-0.46
Delonte West	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-10	8	14.7	15.9	-1.14	15.4	15.0	0.46
LeBron James	74	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	-4	-4	15.6	14.0	1.67	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Anderson Varejao	50	49	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.15	-16	4	-20	14.9	15.6	-0.67	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Mo Williams	72	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.10	-19	7	-26	15.9	13.3	2.54	14.9	16.2	-1.24

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	68	71	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.21	21	-9	30	14.2	18.2	-4.00	16.2	12.6	3.62
David West	75	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	15.0	16.2	-1.15	15.6	13.7	1.87
James Posey	54	57	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	4	4	16.0	14.2	1.86	14.2	16.7	-2.53
Rasual Butler	71	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	9	-6	14.9	16.3	-1.36	15.6	14.1	1.52
Melvin Ely	33	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	12	-12	16.6	14.5	2.12	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Julian Wright	10	8	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	0	12	13.3	15.5	-2.17	12.4	15.5	-3.13
Hilton Armstrong	54	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	3	6	14.6	16.2	-1.58	16.8	13.1	3.67
Devin Brown	35	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.17	7	5	2	15.7	15.0	0.72	13.5	16.3	-2.85
Morris Peterson	40	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	18	-24	15.0	15.4	-0.37	16.7	14.2	2.50
Mike James	25	25	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.06	-9	21	-30	18.2	14.2	4.00	12.6	16.2	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.78,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.73,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	91.7%
SEA 94, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.85,1,1	91.5%
TOR 99, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.1%