NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	7.5 [351]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +21.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	117		Comeback	3.3 [676]		LVP	Rafer Alston (TOR): -8.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	9	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Morris Peterson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	10	44%	-0.04	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	17	36%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.15	0.05	26	69%	0.31	5	-0.10	18	89%	0.11
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	12	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.10	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Tierre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	9	65%	0.11	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.0	26.1	15.7	29.0	1.8	28.0	128.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.7%

LAL +20.8%

LAL +5.0%

TOR -15.5%

TOR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	15.4	15.5	99.0	123.2	104.0
season	15.1	15.7		104.8	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.8	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.5	15.2	12.1	16.5	14.2
LAL	13.2	17.5	14.6	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	79	74	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.20	-2	-16	14	13.0	18.5	-5.52	14.7	17.8	-3.08
Lamond Murray	52	51	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.43	-10	-8	-2	13.9	14.5	-0.57	16.5	14.2	2.25
Rafael Araujo	46	42	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-24	30	12.6	15.5	-2.87	14.0	16.5	-2.53
Rafer Alston	80	74	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-12	6	13.2	18.1	-4.92	15.2	16.1	-0.94
Morris Peterson	45	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-21	24	13.8	14.5	-0.65	14.1	16.4	-2.31
Jalen Rose	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-10	2	14.6	13.8	0.79	16.5	14.4	2.09
Donyell Marshall	45	45	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.14	-25	7	-32	15.7	12.9	2.82	16.5	14.5	2.01
Matt Bonner	30	29	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.18	-15	-3	-12	17.3	12.8	4.44	17.6	14.5	3.08
Eric Williams	53	49	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.16	-17	-1	-16	14.2	14.1	0.02	14.5	16.4	-1.94
Milt Palacio	24	25	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	-2	-14	17.9	13.0	4.89	15.9	15.2	0.69

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	35	34	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.16	19	-1	20	15.9	15.1	0.75	17.8	12.3	5.55
Kobe Bryant	90	95	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.01	22	-4	26	15.3	17.8	-2.52	14.3	11.4	2.91
Jumaine Jones	42	43	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.15	25	-7	32	16.7	14.4	2.25	15.8	12.9	2.90
Chucky Atkins	91	95	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	4	10	15.4	15.7	-0.35	13.8	21.0	-7.20
Lamar Odom	78	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	7	4	15.3	16.0	-0.72	14.0	14.9	-0.94
Tierre Brown	4	5	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	14	-10	15.7	15.4	0.35	21.0	13.8	7.20
Chris Mihm	34	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	14.3	16.0	-1.78	13.2	14.8	-1.65
Brian Grant	43	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.34	10	8	2	16.2	14.8	1.37	12.5	15.4	-2.92
Caron Butler	58	62	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	29	-40	14.7	16.5	-1.81	12.8	16.4	-3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.77,0.95,0.98,1	92.1%
CLE 92, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.78,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.1%
CHA 95, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.55,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	90.6%