NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	5.1 [762]		MVP	Sean Marks (PHX): +10.5%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.1 [1249]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -17.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	19	55%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Raef LaFrentz	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	19	35%	-0.15	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	8	80%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	57%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	23%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	33.5	15.8	22.0	2.0	32.2	134.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.1%

PHX +15.1%

PHX +8.4%

POR -10.7%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.3	13.9	15.4	100.0	106.4	105.7
season	16.7	13.8		105.5	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.8	18.2	16.9	16.4	17.3
PHX	11.3	13.1	14.4	17.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	27	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-14	19	16.6	17.7	-1.06	17.0	12.4	4.55
Raef LaFrentz	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-3	-3	14.2	17.5	-3.23	10.5	14.0	-3.50
James Jones	32	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-9	9	16.4	17.8	-1.44	13.3	14.2	-0.90
Sergio Rodriguez	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-10	11	16.3	18.1	-1.76	15.1	12.9	2.18
Jarrett Jack	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-2	-5	18.0	16.9	1.09	12.8	14.5	-1.69
Channing Frye	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-6	3	17.9	15.9	2.01	14.0	13.4	0.60
Brandon Roy	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	2	-13	17.9	16.6	1.33	12.5	15.5	-3.07
Steve Blake	53	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	1	-11	18.1	16.3	1.76	12.9	15.1	-2.18
Travis Outlaw	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-1	-7	16.8	19.0	-2.22	14.2	12.9	1.32
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-3	-3	17.5	16.3	1.17	14.0	12.2	1.80

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	81	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	2	5	14.3	10.9	3.40	17.1	18.6	-1.49
Boris Diaw	52	51	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.03	12	-3	15	12.8	15.1	-2.29	17.4	17.2	0.16
DJ Strawberry	55	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	8	-7	15.4	11.6	3.82	17.3	17.4	-0.05
Sean Marks	45	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	9	-9	15.7	12.1	3.57	16.7	18.0	-1.32
Alando Tucker	47	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	11	-13	15.5	12.2	3.28	16.8	17.9	-1.11
Amar'e Stoudemire	36	34	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	1	7	11.9	15.0	-3.09	18.8	16.5	2.37
Steve Nash	22	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	2	5	10.8	14.8	-3.96	18.3	17.0	1.29
Brian Skinner	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	5	-1	13.4	14.0	-0.56	17.5	17.3	0.25
Raja Bell	26	24	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	4	1	11.3	14.8	-3.57	17.8	17.2	0.61
Eric Piatkowski	29	27	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	14	-19	17.0	12.4	4.55	16.6	17.7	-1.06
Shaquille O'Neal	22	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	4	1	11.5	14.6	-3.13	17.6	17.2	0.36
Leandro Barbosa	30	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	11.9	14.8	-2.87	17.2	17.4	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 107, OKC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.98,1	94.5%
IND 108, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.5%
CHI 84, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.98,1,1	94.4%