NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	5.0 [850]		MVP	JR Smith (CLE): +19.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	1.0 [1123]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): -5.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	15	63%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	69%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Poythress	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	19	60%	0.12	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	77%	0.12	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Joe Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	13	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.02	-0.00	15	77%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.03	8	87%	0.17	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	17	67%	0.16	11	-0.16	5	80%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.03	-0.03	13	46%	0.07	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	25.5	15.3	25.1	1.5	28.5	125.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +47.7%

IND -2.2%

CLE +11.3%

IND -5.9%

IND -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	13.5	14.7	103.8	112.7	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		108.3	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	16.1	14.8	11.3	14.5
CLE	12.8	12.5	11.3	17.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Young	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	18.9	14.0	4.92	12.5	13.6	-1.11
Lance Stephenson	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-11	15	14.3	14.6	-0.26	13.5	13.5	-0.08
Al Jefferson	27	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	15.6	14.1	1.54	11.7	14.2	-2.49
Alex Poythress	19	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	17.6	13.8	3.83	11.7	13.9	-2.23
Darren Collison	79	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.41	8	-15	23	13.6	17.1	-3.51	14.5	10.4	4.11
Cory Joseph	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-5	3	16.1	13.3	2.88	12.8	14.0	-1.27
Bojan Bogdanovic	58	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	14.3	14.6	-0.24	14.1	12.7	1.36
Domantas Sabonis	77	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	14.1	15.6	-1.54	14.2	11.7	2.49
Victor Oladipo	84	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.13	-13	6	-19	13.9	16.7	-2.78	13.3	14.1	-0.81
Thaddeus Young	75	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	10	-27	13.8	16.2	-2.48	13.2	14.2	-1.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JR Smith	80	82	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.13	14	-7	21	13.3	14.3	-0.99	14.1	15.7	-1.62
LeBron James	84	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-5	17	14.0	11.1	2.90	14.1	16.2	-2.07
Tristan Thompson	68	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-6	19	13.2	14.0	-0.75	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Kevin Love	71	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-5	17	13.3	14.1	-0.81	13.8	15.9	-2.11
Derrick Rose	32	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.02	12	-5	17	11.5	14.4	-2.91	16.7	13.4	3.27
Isaiah Thomas	61	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	5	-3	14.1	12.6	1.57	13.7	15.7	-2.07
Jeff Green	26	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	12	-17	15.3	12.9	2.48	15.5	14.1	1.48
Channing Frye	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	12	-17	13.1	13.6	-0.49	16.1	13.8	2.31
Cedi Osman	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	3.0	13.6	-10.60	0.0	14.5	-14.45
Jae Crowder	34	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.31	-11	18	-29	13.4	13.5	-0.09	15.5	14.0	1.47
Kyle Korver	25	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	14	-21	13.8	13.4	0.45	14.7	14.4	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, BOS 128	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
HOU 96, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIN 98, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	95.2%