NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	3.9 [1059]		MVP	Elton Brand (DAL): +14.6%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	1.0 [1197]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (MIN): -7.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	13	68%	0.11	3	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	11	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	40%	-0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	18	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	13	77%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.01	0.06	11	87%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	77%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	11	77%	0.11	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	12	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	8	28%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	26.5	16.4	25.4	2.6	28.4	127.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.6%

DAL +6.3%

MIN -20.9%

DAL +11.9%

DAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	17.7	13.4	15.4	105.4	122.8	104.1
season	15.6	14.5		101.3	104.3
opponent	15.6	14.9		105.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.3	20.0	17.3	16.0	17.7
DAL	11.3	11.3	14.0	17.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	31	30	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.26	9	-24	33	18.3	17.3	0.98	14.1	13.1	0.97
Ricky Rubio	49	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-22	29	17.8	17.5	0.27	14.4	12.4	2.03
Jose Juan Barea	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-18	21	17.4	18.0	-0.55	14.8	11.9	2.88
Derrick Williams	49	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-16	17	17.6	17.7	-0.12	13.5	13.4	0.12
Dante Cunningham	75	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-6	-3	18.0	16.1	1.93	14.0	11.6	2.36
Luke Ridnour	44	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	3	-21	18.0	17.4	0.55	11.9	14.8	-2.88
Andrei Kirilenko	62	62	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	7	-29	17.3	18.5	-1.23	12.8	14.8	-1.96
Alexey Shved	44	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.15	-22	7	-29	17.5	17.8	-0.27	12.4	14.4	-2.03
Nikola Pekovic	62	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.20	-24	9	-33	17.3	18.3	-0.98	13.1	14.1	-0.97

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	68	70	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.18	27	-12	39	13.3	14.0	-0.69	18.1	16.3	1.75
O.J. Mayo	74	75	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.27	30	-15	45	13.0	15.3	-2.28	17.8	17.1	0.69
Shawn Marion	51	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	-7	29	13.2	13.8	-0.56	17.6	17.7	-0.10
Elton Brand	58	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	5	5	14.2	12.1	2.06	17.5	17.9	-0.42
Chris Kaman	28	32	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	3	9	12.3	13.9	-1.62	17.7	17.6	0.08
Dirk Nowitzki	63	65	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	10	-5	13.2	14.1	-0.91	18.2	16.5	1.67
Vince Carter	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	8	-1	13.0	13.8	-0.78	17.8	17.6	0.23
Jae Crowder	26	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	15	-15	15.3	12.7	2.54	16.4	18.1	-1.74
Mike James	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	19	-23	17.7	13.3	4.36	11.3	17.9	-6.54
Brandan Wright	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	22	-29	11.3	13.6	-2.26	19.2	17.6	1.62
Rodrigue Beaubois	22	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.19	-10	25	-35	13.5	13.4	0.01	17.1	17.8	-0.72
Dahntay Jones	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.37	-17	32	-49	15.2	13.0	2.22	16.9	17.9	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
IND 98, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.9%
HOU 91, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%