NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	3.9 [1024]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +24.7%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.0 [1198]		LVP	CJ Watson (IND): -8.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	18	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
David West	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	11	68%	0.04	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	10	54%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	40%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.32	0.02	0.10	18	88%	0.34	5	-0.10	15	93%	0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	6	58%	0.10	3	-0.03	12	50%	-0.03
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	11	26%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.3	15.8	29.5	2.3	31.9	133.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.8%

HOU +13.8%

IND -3.1%

HOU +5.4%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	13.8	15.1	99.0	112.2	104.2
season	16.0	14.3		102.3	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		103.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.9	15.5	17.6	13.1	15.5
HOU	12.9	12.7	13.7	15.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	47	48	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.36	15	-27	42	13.8	17.0	-3.21	14.0	13.6	0.44
Donald Sloan	49	50	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.32	12	-24	36	14.8	16.1	-1.22	13.8	13.7	0.13
Damjan Rudez	29	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-20	28	13.0	16.5	-3.52	12.4	14.4	-2.03
Ian Mahinmi	60	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-15	18	14.9	16.2	-1.28	13.9	13.6	0.36
CJ Miles	69	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-15	18	15.1	16.2	-1.07	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Rodney Stuckey	35	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	2	-16	16.9	14.7	2.21	13.6	13.8	-0.20
Roy Hibbert	39	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	3	-18	16.2	14.9	1.28	13.6	13.9	-0.36
Solomon Hill	65	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	9	-30	16.1	14.1	1.99	14.7	12.0	2.67
CJ Watson	50	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.17	-24	12	-36	16.1	14.8	1.22	13.7	13.8	-0.13
David West	52	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.21	-27	15	-42	17.0	13.8	3.21	13.6	14.0	-0.44

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-5	22	13.8	13.7	0.05	16.0	13.2	2.84
Dwight Howard	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	-3	18	13.7	14.0	-0.36	15.8	14.5	1.34
Donatas Motiejunas	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	1	10	14.4	12.5	1.89	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Trevor Ariza	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	3	6	13.6	14.0	-0.39	16.7	13.8	2.86
Jason Terry	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	8	-4	13.6	13.9	-0.28	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Patrick Beverley	57	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	4	4	13.9	13.6	0.28	16.5	14.0	2.48
Josh Smith	57	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	14	-16	13.2	14.6	-1.35	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Corey Brewer	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	9	-6	14.6	13.3	1.28	13.6	16.5	-2.85
Kostas Papanikolaou	25	25	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	17	-22	13.0	14.1	-1.09	13.6	16.1	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	95.9%
BOS 99, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
WAS 72, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%