inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 107 Excitement4.9 [850] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +15.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 113 Comeback1.2 [1038] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -15.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.040.00861%0.0900.002100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.000.01967%0.0600.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.013100%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Courtney Lee0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.06-0.010.01762%0.0400.002100%0.01
Kosta Koufos0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02490%0.082-0.04250%-0.01
Zach Randolph-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021441%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Mike Miller-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.18-0.110.11995%-0.0400.00250%-0.07
Marc Gasol-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.040.07-0.070.041068%-0.002-0.03560%-0.02
Nick Calathes-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.060.02633%-0.102-0.0500%0.00
Mike Conley-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.180.00-0.021026%-0.065-0.093100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.160.160.130.050.012464%0.275-0.1210100%0.03
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.000.001268%0.131-0.01786%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.02-0.02480%0.1100.002100%0.01
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03354%0.051-0.01771%-0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011254%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.031167%0.053-0.062100%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0420%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01233%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.02530%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.637.015.525.52.430.9139.5
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +35.0%
OKC +21.5%
OKC +1.7%
MEM -0.6%
MEM -7.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMOKCNBAMEMOKCNBA
this game17.314.715.1118.9125.6105.2
season16.414.4104.5107.8
opponent15.415.2102.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.716.719.117.917.3
OKC13.114.613.618.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kosta Koufos30290.10-0.600.69-0.055-111616.717.6-0.8516.313.92.43
Mike Miller35340.00-0.500.51-0.4415-213615.918.2-2.3117.213.24.07
James Johnson4039-0.09-0.410.31-0.338-142216.817.7-0.9016.313.52.84
Tony Allen3233-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-81017.217.4-0.2215.714.11.53
Mike Conley4850-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-3018.216.21.9914.215.4-1.21
Zach Randolph4748-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-71-818.416.12.3613.915.6-1.77
Nick Calathes4240-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.24-3-3016.218.2-1.9915.414.21.21
Courtney Lee6263-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.07-126-1817.716.41.2614.016.2-2.17
Tayshaun Prince5050-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.00-159-2417.517.00.4513.316.4-3.15
Marc Gasol6464-0.780.28-1.06-0.19-2014-3417.417.20.2113.517.7-4.21

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant81800.500.000.490.268-21014.516.8-2.3117.218.4-1.24
Steven Adams48490.420.080.34-0.0215-92413.616.0-2.4417.517.00.51
Serge Ibaka54550.400.100.300.139-31214.215.5-1.2917.816.51.33
Russell Westbrook55550.370.130.240.2542214.714.70.0717.816.51.24
Reggie Jackson63640.330.170.150.36-17-815.113.81.2616.619.1-2.55
Perry Jones27260.210.29-0.090.1815-414.514.8-0.2619.016.62.44
Jeremy Lamb21220.100.40-0.290.0233014.714.7-0.0416.517.6-1.12
Nick Collison29270.100.40-0.300.1006-615.114.50.5416.917.5-0.53
Hasheem Thabeet32310.040.46-0.410.16-410-1415.114.50.6616.817.5-0.70
Thabo Sefolosha890.040.46-0.42-0.0533014.414.7-0.3615.717.5-1.81
Derek Fisher3232-0.010.51-0.510.23-814-2216.613.72.8917.417.20.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 87, IND 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,194.5%
POR 91, PHX 1000.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.98,194.5%
MIN 113, DEN 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.99,194.4%