NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	4.5 [901]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): +10.0%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.1 [1242]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -13.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	20	66%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	1	33%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.03	12	58%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	70%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	55%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	9	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	15	47%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	7	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	25.2	14.6	22.2	2.4	30.2	120.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.7%

NJN +8.5%

NJN +1.0%

NJN +6.7%

NJN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	17.2	15.2	15.6	94.4	103.4	102.3
season	15.6	14.7		96.3	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.4	16.2	20.8	14.2	17.2
NJN	14.3	14.5	17.1	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	44	44	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.39	16	-24	40	15.0	19.3	-4.22	16.7	13.7	2.93
Jamal Crawford	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-12	16	16.3	17.6	-1.29	16.7	14.5	2.29
Dalibor Bagaric	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-12	16	16.8	17.5	-0.72	16.3	14.1	2.20
Fred Hoiberg	18	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-7	6	15.0	17.7	-2.73	15.8	15.0	0.75
A.J. Guyton	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-7	6	18.3	17.0	1.25	19.2	14.6	4.57
Charles Oakley	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-13	18	15.2	19.5	-4.37	14.8	15.6	-0.75
Eddy Curry	23	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	6	-20	20.2	16.1	4.04	15.3	15.1	0.15
Trenton Hassell	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	9	-26	20.3	14.8	5.47	14.1	16.0	-1.92
Travis Best	52	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	3	-14	17.4	16.9	0.54	13.4	17.4	-4.02
Marcus Fizer	62	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	3	-14	17.9	15.6	2.33	14.6	16.4	-1.82
Jalen Rose	78	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.19	-14	6	-20	17.4	15.9	1.45	14.7	18.3	-3.53

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	67	67	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-9	26	14.7	16.7	-2.00	17.6	15.9	1.75
Jason Collins	61	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-8	24	14.2	17.2	-2.97	17.5	16.5	0.95
Jason Kidd	72	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-5	18	14.7	17.4	-2.76	17.3	16.8	0.45
Kerry Kittles	52	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-7	22	14.5	16.2	-1.68	19.2	14.5	4.72
Keith Van Horn	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-2	12	15.6	13.9	1.67	17.2	17.2	-0.09
Lucious Harris	48	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.35	-11	19	-30	16.4	13.8	2.64	14.9	19.8	-4.93
Anthony Johnson	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	9	-10	17.8	15.0	2.85	17.3	17.2	0.11
Richard Jefferson	43	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	19	-30	15.3	15.0	0.28	16.5	17.8	-1.24
Aaron Williams	28	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.18	-8	16	-24	17.2	14.2	2.97	16.5	17.5	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	95.8%
CHA 103, MIA 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 89, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%