NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	7.9 [250]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +39.5%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	15.3 [124]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -18.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.01	10	80%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.03	0.15	0.02	18	61%	0.27	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	7	87%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	15	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Perovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	5	29%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	9	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.00	13	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	-0.01	20	45%	-0.03	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.21	0.21	0.02	12	76%	0.39	0	0.00	13	77%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	16	56%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	13	57%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	10	56%	0.09	3	-0.06	14	50%	-0.10
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.02	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	30.3	15.4	26.6	2.4	35.4	138.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.3%

PHX +20.8%

PHX +20.3%

GSW -14.8%

GSW -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	13.5	13.9	15.4	110.5	116.2	105.7
season	13.5	13.8		109.8	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	14.9	11.4	14.6	13.5
PHX	11.0	14.5	14.8	16.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Perovic	28	29	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.00	10	-16	26	12.6	13.8	-1.24	14.2	13.8	0.40
Al Harrington	58	57	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.09	2	-8	10	13.4	13.7	-0.26	13.5	14.5	-1.00
Austin Croshere	43	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-6	6	12.3	14.4	-2.13	14.5	13.5	0.93
Marco Belinelli	14	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	1	-8	15.9	13.2	2.70	14.6	13.8	0.76
Baron Davis	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	0	-6	14.0	13.2	0.74	11.4	15.4	-4.02
Kelenna Azubuike	68	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-10	14	13.4	13.7	-0.33	15.1	11.8	3.25
Stephen Jackson	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-5	4	13.1	14.2	-1.08	14.1	13.5	0.62
Monta Ellis	94	95	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	13.3	15.3	-1.96	14.0	12.8	1.23
Mickael Pietrus	52	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.20	-14	8	-22	14.1	12.9	1.23	14.4	13.4	0.94
Andris Biedrins	60	58	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.53	-14	8	-22	14.4	12.3	2.18	13.1	14.9	-1.73

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.40	6	0	6	13.6	14.5	-0.90	14.0	12.4	1.65
Steve Nash	79	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	13.4	15.6	-2.21	13.9	12.2	1.69
Leandro Barbosa	67	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	1	4	14.6	12.7	1.93	13.2	14.0	-0.87
Raja Bell	88	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	4	-2	13.7	14.9	-1.23	13.6	13.3	0.26
Boris Diaw	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.49	-6	12	-18	14.4	12.8	1.64	13.6	13.3	0.31
Grant Hill	31	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	-8	22	12.2	14.6	-2.49	13.7	13.4	0.26
Shaquille O'Neal	61	62	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	-3	12	14.5	13.0	1.50	13.2	14.0	-0.86
Brian Skinner	11	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	11.9	14.1	-2.24	12.3	13.6	-1.34
Gordan Giricek	42	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	9	-12	14.7	13.4	1.37	12.9	14.0	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.55,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.73,1	88.8%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.33,0.2,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	88.3%
DET 82, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.67,0.58,1	88.0%