NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	9.8 [63]		MVP	Devin Brown (CLE): +105.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	63.9 [9]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -31.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	1.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,1.06	0.01	1.05	-0.00	12	50%	1.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.23
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.31	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.31	0.05	0.25	-0.00	18	58%	0.35	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Anderson Varejao	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Joe Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,-0.2	0.02	-0.21	0.01	18	56%	0.00	5	-0.20	12	50%	-0.09

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.57	0.57	0.12	0.45	0.00	11	81%	0.62	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.12	0.00	11	46%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	20	59%	0.17	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.07	0.00	6	33%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.09
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.19	-0.15	-0.02	17	26%	-0.25	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	28.2	15.7	29.1	2.4	41.2	144.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -14.4%

CLE +95.6%

PHI -8.4%

PHI -28.2%

CLE +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.4	101.1	100.0	105.7
season	16.4	15.2		104.0	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.2		104.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.2	16.7	17.7	16.9	17.1
PHI	17.1	15.3	13.6	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	62	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.67	12	-11	23	17.1	17.2	-0.13	16.9	10.5	6.37
Daniel Gibson	59	59	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.55	6	-5	11	17.4	16.6	0.71	13.1	18.2	-5.09
Devin Brown	42	41	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.50	2	-1	3	17.2	17.0	0.24	12.4	17.0	-4.63
LeBron James	79	80	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.49	-5	6	-11	16.7	19.7	-2.98	14.6	16.8	-2.15
Delonte West	60	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.40	-6	7	-13	16.8	17.7	-0.88	16.2	12.2	4.01
Sasha Pavlovic	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	-5	11	17.2	17.1	0.13	17.6	12.8	4.77
Dwayne Jones	2	2	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	1	-1	22.0	17.0	5.00	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Anderson Varejao	44	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	4	-7	18.5	15.7	2.81	12.5	17.1	-4.60
Joe Smith	22	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	8	-15	18.3	16.7	1.60	9.9	16.3	-6.35
Ben Wallace	44	43	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.37	0	1	-1	15.5	18.7	-3.24	17.7	12.3	5.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	41	39	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-1	1	17.0	13.1	3.97	16.9	17.2	-0.29
Rodney Carney	13	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	1	-3	14.4	15.0	-0.59	20.0	16.5	3.47
Calvin Booth	4	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	3	-7	19.7	14.7	5.09	12.2	17.3	-5.09
Jason Smith	15	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	5	-11	11.3	15.6	-4.35	16.7	17.2	-0.53
Kevin Ollie	6	5	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	6	-13	10.2	15.2	-5.06	17.0	17.1	-0.12
Willie Green	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	4	-9	16.9	12.9	4.04	16.7	17.6	-0.94
Andre Miller	78	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.50	9	-10	19	15.3	12.4	2.85	16.9	18.7	-1.84
Lou Williams	45	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-5	9	12.9	16.9	-4.04	17.6	16.7	0.94
Samuel Dalembert	64	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-7	13	15.6	13.2	2.33	17.3	16.7	0.62
Thaddeus Young	56	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-3	5	13.2	17.7	-4.57	17.5	16.5	1.02
Andre Iguodala	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	1	-3	15.0	14.1	0.81	16.8	19.9	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.54,0.36,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	91.3%
DEN 103, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.68,0.28,0.33,0.28,0	91.2%
CLE 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0	90.9%