inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 72 Excitement4.8 [844] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +12.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 65 Comeback1.1 [1177] LVPJarrett Jack (POR): -13.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.05-0.032251%0.161-0.03978%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0.090,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.040.00771%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.00487%0.0700.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.00260%0.051-0.021100%0.01
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00567%0.054-0.08580%0.00
Ime Udoka-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02736%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Damon Stoudamire-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.110.00-0.021625%-0.0900.0000%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.04-0.021154%0.071-0.054100%0.02
Brandon Roy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.011550%0.031-0.04667%-0.04
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0030%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.030.001128%-0.091-0.02333%-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.021635%-0.062-0.072100%0.01
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.00833%-0.043-0.102100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.630.114.724.01.831.3127.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +32.3%
SAS +5.8%
SAS +2.5%
SAS +8.7%
SAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game17.817.715.488.980.2105.7
season16.516.7104.7105.5
opponent15.415.3106.1100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.216.219.119.117.8
POR17.915.820.916.917.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen66650.420.080.330.3334-118.216.12.0617.917.20.61
Tim Duncan60620.400.100.290.1970718.416.22.1317.618.3-0.75
Tony Parker57570.360.140.230.109-21117.817.70.0916.620.4-3.74
Fabricio Oberto26270.310.190.120.088-1916.118.6-2.5619.616.82.83
Manu Ginobili49500.260.240.010.1734-117.118.9-1.8018.017.40.63
Kurt Thomas47450.220.28-0.060.1916-518.117.40.8017.518.1-0.62
Michael Finley36360.210.29-0.080.0361517.717.9-0.1716.818.5-1.68
Ime Udoka37380.200.30-0.090.1425-317.917.80.0917.917.60.29
Damon Stoudamire1090.130.37-0.230.1016-518.517.70.7821.317.34.04
Matt Bonner210.000.50-0.500.06-29-1119.017.81.2212.017.8-5.81
Jacque Vaughn1515-0.010.51-0.520.08-310-1317.617.9-0.2618.917.51.38

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Przybilla3132-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-7717.318.0-0.7316.518.7-2.17
Sergio Rodriguez65-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-2-320.317.52.8015.817.9-2.15
Channing Frye1311-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-4120.917.13.7916.718.0-1.26
Brandon Roy6766-0.23-0.270.04-0.292-91117.817.40.4617.817.70.10
Travis Outlaw6059-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.322-91117.518.3-0.8017.818.0-0.19
Jarrett Jack3738-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.19-3-4116.818.5-1.6617.717.9-0.25
Steve Blake5759-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.22-5-2-317.219.0-1.7318.416.22.18
Raef LaFrentz3535-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.20-6-1-517.418.0-0.6519.116.82.34
LaMarcus Aldridge6363-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.32-2-5318.315.92.3818.216.51.69
James Jones3637-0.40-0.10-0.300.04-158-2317.917.60.3216.918.6-1.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 88, HOU 800.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,094.8%
SAS 83, UTA 690.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.6%
ATL 99, PHI 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.02,094.5%