NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	8.9 [125]		MVP	Jamario Moon (TOR): +18.5%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	3.1 [259]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -25.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	6	75%	0.21	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11	0.17	-0.06	0.00	18	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.06
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	8	32%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	17	55%	0.11	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.05
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	9	89%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	17	59%	0.18	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	6	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	16	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	21	48%	0.03	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.09
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	6	0%	-0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.20	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.6	29.5	17.0	26.1	2.5	35.6	134.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +14.9%

CHA +13.9%

CHA +13.0%

CHA +7.3%

CHA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	13.9	15.4	106.1	102.0	105.7
season	15.8	15.6		103.1	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	15.3	14.9	14.8	15.4
TOR	14.8	13.5	13.9	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	38	38	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-9	23	16.2	14.9	1.29	14.4	13.5	0.82
Raymond Felton	82	81	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	15.0	16.9	-1.83	14.0	13.0	1.05
Jason Richardson	92	91	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-2	9	15.0	19.6	-4.53	13.9	13.9	0.01
Earl Boykins	52	50	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	1	3	15.4	15.3	0.04	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Emeka Okafor	81	79	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	4	-3	15.0	16.8	-1.80	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Jared Dudley	37	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	9	-13	15.7	15.2	0.50	13.4	14.2	-0.79
Jermareo Davidson	42	42	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	15.0	15.6	-0.63	14.0	13.7	0.32
Gerald Wallace	40	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	16.6	14.5	2.12	13.7	14.0	-0.25
Matt Carroll	31	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	10	-15	15.5	15.3	0.18	14.2	13.7	0.52

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	72	73	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.26	11	-16	27	13.2	15.6	-2.33	15.6	14.7	0.91
T.J. Ford	62	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-10	15	13.2	14.9	-1.70	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Jason Kapono	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-3	1	13.4	14.0	-0.62	13.6	15.8	-2.21
Jamario Moon	60	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	0	-5	14.2	13.4	0.77	15.6	15.0	0.56
Andrea Bargnani	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	3	-11	14.6	13.4	1.22	16.0	15.0	0.96
Chris Bosh	85	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-4	3	13.7	14.7	-0.95	15.1	17.2	-2.16
Rasho Nesterovic	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-4	3	13.8	14.0	-0.12	15.9	13.8	2.15
Carlos Delfino	33	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.11	-10	5	-15	15.2	13.2	1.98	15.7	15.2	0.45
Jose Calderon	50	51	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	9	-23	14.2	13.5	0.68	15.0	15.7	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.21,0.37,0.23,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.33,0.27,0	90.7%
CHI 102, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.04,0	90.7%
ORL 93, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.07,0.06,0.05,0	90.4%