NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	7.8 [260]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (ORL): +9.0%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	2.7 [399]		LVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): -15.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	16	65%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	22	49%	0.06	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Grant Hill	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	54%	0.03	3	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Pat Garrity	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	3	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.11	0.00	16	69%	0.07	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	44%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	60%	0.00	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.07
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	5	21%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	0.00	-0.02	14	36%	-0.06	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	11	48%	-0.07	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	-0.00	20	48%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.8	28.3	19.6	26.2	2.6	33.1	139.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.6%

ORL +11.0%

PHX -1.6%

PHX -8.3%

ORL +11.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	15.6	100.0	96.8	102.3
season	14.6	15.1		104.6	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.8		102.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	14.2	14.5	18.7	15.0
PHX	15.6	15.2	14.9	17.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	46	47	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.53	9	-8	17	16.1	13.9	2.21	16.1	15.2	0.88
Patrick Ewing	57	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-17	35	14.8	15.2	-0.42	15.7	15.5	0.24
Tracy McGrady	89	89	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.7	20.0	-5.26	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Troy Hudson	20	21	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-5	11	13.8	15.3	-1.42	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Grant Hill	71	73	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	6	-11	15.3	14.0	1.33	15.7	15.4	0.33
Mike Miller	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	-2	5	14.0	15.9	-1.96	14.2	17.0	-2.76
Darrell Armstrong	60	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.36	-6	7	-13	15.4	14.1	1.36	16.4	14.3	2.08
Horace Grant	46	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	13	-25	14.9	15.1	-0.19	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Pat Garrity	8	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	-2	5	12.5	15.2	-2.70	14.8	15.8	-0.96
Steven Hunter	23	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	13	-25	15.8	14.7	1.08	16.6	15.4	1.27

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	46	46	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.06	3	-4	7	15.4	15.9	-0.48	15.5	14.4	1.10
Jud Buechler	18	18	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-6	11	14.7	15.9	-1.23	13.9	15.2	-1.34
Rodney Rogers	65	67	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.39	14	-15	29	15.4	16.2	-0.78	15.0	14.9	0.12
Alton Ford	8	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	16.6	15.6	1.05	15.0	15.0	0.03
Jake Voskuhl	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-1	1	17.2	15.3	1.92	15.2	14.9	0.32
Tony Delk	49	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	5	-11	15.1	16.2	-1.07	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Shawn Marion	81	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	3	-7	15.8	14.9	0.86	15.3	12.9	2.48
Stephon Marbury	73	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.56	0	-1	1	15.8	15.2	0.57	15.1	14.3	0.82
Anfernee Hardaway	82	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.48	-6	5	-11	15.6	16.0	-0.39	14.8	15.8	-1.02
John Wallace	35	32	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.49	-9	8	-17	16.2	15.3	0.90	14.6	15.2	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.07,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, MIL 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.09,0,0	93.3%
SAS 95, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.01,0	91.7%
DAL 112, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	91.6%