NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	4.8 [842]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +16.8%
Atlanta Hawks	115		Comeback	1.8 [946]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -12.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.01	-0.02	18	64%	0.19	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Michael Redd	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.05	0.02	10	77%	0.13	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	7	22%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Awvee Storey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	53%	-0.01	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Yi Jianlian	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.05	0.05	17	76%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	12	67%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.02	11	67%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	82%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	4	91%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	54%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	9	32%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	31.3	16.4	30.4	2.5	30.3	141.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +26.8%

ATL +8.1%

MIL -1.0%

ATL +13.4%

ATL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.1	15.4	107.9	126.4	105.7
season	15.8	15.4		103.4	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.1	17.4	16.7	19.3	17.0
ATL	13.7	14.7	14.0	18.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-19	19	18.3	16.8	1.50	20.7	14.3	6.45
Ramon Sessions	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-15	11	18.2	16.7	1.48	17.9	14.6	3.30
Dan Gadzuric	22	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-16	13	12.6	18.4	-5.75	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Michael Redd	62	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-15	11	15.7	19.9	-4.25	13.9	17.8	-3.87
Awvee Storey	23	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-6	-7	20.1	15.9	4.21	16.6	14.5	2.13
Desmond Mason	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-13	7	15.9	20.1	-4.21	14.5	16.6	-2.13
Mo Williams	65	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-8	-3	17.6	15.3	2.24	14.9	15.5	-0.55
Yi Jianlian	42	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.21	-17	-2	-15	17.6	16.4	1.24	16.5	13.7	2.81
Royal Ivey	35	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-4	-11	16.9	17.0	-0.04	16.3	14.2	2.09
Charlie Villanueva	50	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-13	7	16.9	17.0	-0.11	13.8	16.5	-2.70
Andrew Bogut	57	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-3	-13	18.4	14.4	4.00	14.2	16.4	-2.21

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	56	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.20	26	-7	33	15.2	14.8	0.46	17.1	16.8	0.28
Zaza Pachulia	43	42	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.13	21	-2	23	14.2	15.9	-1.69	17.2	16.8	0.42
Joe Johnson	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	4	11	14.9	15.8	-0.95	17.3	15.3	1.96
Josh Smith	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	7	5	14.4	16.8	-2.46	17.6	15.3	2.30
Marvin Williams	60	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	7	5	14.5	16.0	-1.48	17.6	15.8	1.78
Mike Bibby	58	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	15	-11	14.1	16.8	-2.72	15.9	18.9	-2.98
Acie Law	28	26	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	10	-1	17.2	14.1	3.12	17.6	16.7	0.86
Solomon Jones	15	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	20	-21	17.1	14.6	2.49	12.8	17.7	-4.82
Al Horford	33	34	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	15.3	14.9	0.34	18.3	16.2	2.10
Salim Stoudamire	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	18.7	14.7	4.01	19.7	16.7	3.00
Jeremy Richardson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	20.4	14.7	5.66	9.2	17.3	-8.08
Mario West	8	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	21	-23	17.0	14.9	2.13	8.0	17.6	-9.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 99, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 99, CLE 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
BOS 94, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.95,1,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%