NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	5.2 [746]		MVP	Joel Przybilla (POR): +6.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	1.2 [818]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -19.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	12	63%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	13	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.06,0.03	-0.02	0.04	0.00	18	49%	0.11	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	58%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	56%	0.03	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	5	32%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.11	-0.07	0.06	18	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	11	48%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	11	48%	-0.05	3	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	11	44%	0.02	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	15	31%	-0.18	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	34.0	15.4	34.3	1.8	36.0	149.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.4%

PHX +14.6%

POR -2.3%

POR -0.4%

POR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.4	103.2	95.8	105.7
season	13.8	16.7		111.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.1	12.2	17.7	14.7	14.4
POR	16.2	16.6	15.0	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	64	63	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-7	19	15.3	12.3	2.96	17.2	13.5	3.75
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	13.3	17.1	-3.82	16.6	14.3	2.25
Steve Nash	73	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	14.5	14.0	0.45	16.5	13.7	2.84
Grant Hill	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	3	-1	14.8	13.2	1.59	15.0	18.6	-3.64
Raja Bell	79	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	5	-5	14.1	15.6	-1.49	15.7	17.4	-1.71
Boris Diaw	50	53	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	5	-5	14.2	14.5	-0.37	14.0	18.4	-4.43
Leandro Barbosa	53	56	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	1	3	14.3	14.4	-0.03	16.2	15.5	0.68
Gordan Giricek	13	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	3	-1	14.6	14.3	0.31	16.7	15.8	0.92

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	34	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-7	9	12.7	17.7	-4.97	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Channing Frye	43	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-14	23	14.5	17.1	-2.56	15.6	13.3	2.34
Martell Webster	24	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-2	-1	16.8	15.7	1.18	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Steve Blake	65	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	1	-7	16.9	13.9	3.02	15.1	12.7	2.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	52	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-2	-1	17.2	14.4	2.84	13.0	15.9	-2.97
Jarrett Jack	56	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.9	17.4	-2.49	14.0	14.8	-0.87
Travis Outlaw	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	15.3	17.5	-2.25	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Brandon Roy	85	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	2	-9	16.0	15.5	0.56	14.2	15.6	-1.46
Joel Przybilla	54	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	10	-25	18.1	13.2	4.90	14.9	13.5	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.37,0.24,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.09,0	94.0%
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%
SAS 114, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.08,0	93.8%