inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 114 Excitement5.7 [535] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +26.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Comeback1.0 [468] LVPMatt Bonner (SAS): -8.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.260.160.120.011287%0.312-0.0500%0.00
Tony Parker0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.010.05-0.042250%0.174-0.10683%-0.01
Gary Neal0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02844%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Anderson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.01362%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Tiago Splitter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.031569%0.095-0.1020%-0.03
Kawhi Leonard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.040.03968%0.002-0.02475%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.050.021343%0.052-0.061155%-0.06
Matt Bonner-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.05-0.03530%-0.022-0.0700%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.110.110.070.060.021183%0.225-0.1110%-0.01
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.013100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.040.001956%0.135-0.117100%0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00462%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Lazar Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.031150%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07-0.070.09-0.090.072953%-0.042-0.041090%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.032.117.728.02.737.0146.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.2%
OKC -8.6%
SAS +24.4%
OKC -10.8%
SAS +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game15.513.015.6112.9104.0102.8
season15.314.7109.1107.9
opponent15.815.2101.9101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.714.515.717.315.5
OKC14.714.311.611.513.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner54560.60-0.100.700.1316-72315.615.50.1012.713.3-0.53
Tim Duncan66660.53-0.030.560.2410-11116.413.92.4513.212.50.74
Danny Green83810.390.110.280.2454115.515.6-0.0812.714.0-1.28
Kawhi Leonard78790.330.170.150.2145-116.312.83.5213.311.91.36
Tony Parker78800.300.200.090.1554116.014.02.0613.013.0-0.04
James Anderson34340.290.210.09-0.0010-11113.616.5-2.9013.312.80.49
Tiago Splitter780.130.37-0.24-0.0772511.915.8-3.9614.912.82.07
DeJuan Blair5856-0.030.53-0.550.09-413-1715.315.8-0.4713.112.80.39
Gary Neal4745-0.040.54-0.580.19-817-2514.416.5-2.1312.013.7-1.67

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lazar Hayward19180.06-0.560.61-0.2410-19299.613.7-4.1115.915.50.49
Reggie Jackson87-0.13-0.370.240.07-7-2-514.912.82.0711.915.8-3.96
Thabo Sefolosha2930-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-4-5114.412.42.0216.215.30.88
Nick Collison4950-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-3-312.113.7-1.6114.816.3-1.43
Nazr Mohammed1110-0.19-0.310.120.10-101-1115.012.72.2811.816.0-4.16
Kendrick Perkins3233-0.19-0.310.110.04-8-1-714.512.32.2415.915.40.50
Kevin Durant9091-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-101112.715.0-2.2816.011.84.16
Serge Ibaka5151-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.27-2-7513.912.01.8816.314.81.43
Royal Ivey5150-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.01-123-1513.112.80.3015.215.9-0.72
James Harden7271-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.22-5-4-112.414.4-2.0215.316.2-0.88
Russell Westbrook9394-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.31-2-7512.814.9-2.0715.811.93.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 97, POR 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.37,0.24,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.09,093.8%
MIA 91, WAS 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.09,093.2%
HOU 121, DAL 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.24,0.15,0.05,0,093.1%