NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	118		Excitement	7.7 [275]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (DEN): +17.2%
Denver Nuggets	124		Comeback	1.7 [588]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -10.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	5	82%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	46%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	15	61%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	18	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
James Posey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	10	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.03	19	53%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	13	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	5	110%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	12	61%	0.18	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	8	55%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	16	54%	0.20	4	-0.08	20	70%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	56%	0.04	2	-0.08	5	60%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	0.02	17	62%	0.08	6	-0.17	13	92%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	31.8	15.7	28.2	2.3	46.6	155.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +54.2%

DEN +12.6%

BOS -7.6%

BOS -14.8%

DEN +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DEN	NBA	BOS	DEN	NBA
this game	13.5	13.2	15.4	109.3	114.8	105.7
season	15.6	13.3		108.0	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.4	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	14.6	13.5	10.5	13.5
DEN	9.8	14.2	14.7	14.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	15	15	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-11	16	16.5	13.0	3.47	13.1	13.2	-0.14
Tony Allen	42	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-10	14	14.2	13.0	1.16	13.5	13.0	0.46
Eddie House	43	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-14	22	13.0	13.8	-0.76	12.0	14.0	-2.05
James Posey	82	83	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-12	18	13.1	14.8	-1.75	13.8	11.0	2.84
Kendrick Perkins	22	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	3	-12	14.8	13.1	1.68	11.1	13.7	-2.61
Leon Powe	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	14.8	12.6	2.22	13.8	12.7	1.11
Kevin Garnett	52	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	6	-18	11.8	15.1	-3.27	12.7	13.6	-0.87
Paul Pierce	93	93	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	13.2	15.3	-2.07	13.2	12.8	0.45
Rajon Rondo	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	6	-18	13.8	13.0	0.76	13.8	12.2	1.55
Ray Allen	82	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	13.3	14.0	-0.63	13.0	13.8	-0.80

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	86	86	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-10	26	13.2	13.3	-0.17	13.6	12.9	0.72
Allen Iverson	101	102	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	13.2	13.6	-0.41	13.5	13.3	0.16
Anthony Carter	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-4	14	12.5	14.6	-2.05	13.6	13.3	0.25
Marcus Camby	92	93	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-3	12	12.8	15.2	-2.42	13.3	14.8	-1.53
Kenyon Martin	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	0	6	12.8	13.6	-0.75	14.6	12.0	2.55
Linas Kleiza	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	11	-16	15.2	12.0	3.16	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Eduardo Najera	49	48	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	14	-22	12.8	13.5	-0.71	12.9	14.0	-1.13
J.R. Smith	39	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.24	-10	16	-26	14.4	12.5	1.88	13.0	13.8	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.8%
DAL 108, MIN 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.67,0.65,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.2%
SAS 78, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.68,0.92,1	92.2%