inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 78 Excitement6.9 [425] MVPJames Robinson (MIN): +14.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 82 Comeback1.6 [784] LVPCory Alexander (SAS): -13.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sean Elliott0.100,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.050.13-0.021150%0.152-0.05650%-0.03
Charles Smith0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.00686%0.152-0.072100%0.01
Monty Williams0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.00367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Carl Herrera-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Greg Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Dominique Wilkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04-0.070.03-0.002141%0.012-0.052100%0.01
Avery Johnson-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06-0.010.000.041158%0.003-0.06250%-0.03
Vernon Maxwell-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.01750%-0.034-0.10475%-0.00
Cory Alexander-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.00337%-0.043-0.10250%-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.150.14-0.060.210.001054%0.223-0.08862%-0.06
Stojko Vrankovic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.02475%0.071-0.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.01658%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Shane Heal00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.031845%0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04-0.04-0.060.040.022051%0.064-0.10786%0.01
Chris Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.00650%-0.0600.00683%0.01
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Doug West0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02540%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.829.214.822.52.431.4127.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +0.1%
MIN +6.1%
MIN +25.9%
MIN +12.2%
MIN +5.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game14.617.215.686.790.1104.4
season16.815.5100.8103.3
opponent15.515.4105.3109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.211.816.016.114.6
MIN14.216.518.320.717.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monty Williams13140.20-0.700.89-0.017-111811.715.1-3.4016.917.3-0.42
Cory Alexander44430.17-0.670.83-0.1310-142412.516.6-4.0617.317.10.22
Vernon Maxwell5758-0.16-0.340.19-0.398-122013.516.5-2.9317.916.11.80
Dominique Wilkins6667-0.16-0.340.18-0.429-132213.916.5-2.5917.815.72.09
Greg Anderson3737-0.22-0.280.060.04-95-1416.313.42.8817.816.81.06
Charles Smith5354-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.435-91413.416.3-2.8816.817.8-1.06
Carl Herrera2424-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-139-2216.513.92.5915.717.8-2.09
Vinny Del Negro3435-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.04-117-1816.413.52.9116.217.9-1.69
Avery Johnson4546-0.650.15-0.79-0.21-1511-2616.612.64.0417.117.4-0.29
Sean Elliott7777-0.700.20-0.89-0.37-117-1815.111.73.4017.316.90.42

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tom Gugliotta78780.68-0.180.860.3611-71817.714.53.1215.111.33.77
Doug West56550.63-0.130.770.3111-71818.115.72.4315.912.63.32
Stojko Vrankovic50490.54-0.040.580.0716-122816.518.0-1.4816.312.63.75
Kevin Garnett78770.370.130.250.2640417.217.2-0.0314.813.61.15
Stephon Marbury18160.220.28-0.06-0.028-41215.517.6-2.1314.214.7-0.43
James Robinson59570.160.34-0.170.43-913-2217.317.00.3213.915.8-1.92
Sam Mitchell54510.130.37-0.230.40-913-2217.416.90.4413.915.5-1.61
Shane Heal010.010.49-0.480.0104-40.017.2-17.211.014.8-13.75
Chris Carr19190.010.49-0.490.0104-416.617.4-0.7314.114.7-0.63
Terry Porter3033-0.020.52-0.550.03-26-816.617.5-0.8614.114.9-0.76
Cherokee Parks1314-0.240.74-0.980.05-1014-2416.417.3-0.968.415.7-7.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.68,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 90, NJN 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.54,0.44,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.92,192.8%
BOS 118, DEN 1240.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.97,0.98,192.2%
HOU 79, NOH 880.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,191.9%