NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	7.6 [311]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +26.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Comeback	1.7 [793]		LVP	Shawn Marion (DAL): -14.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.18	0.06	-0.01	11	91%	0.29	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bernard James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
DeJuan Blair	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	6	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	24	44%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Gal Mekel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	11	56%	-0.02	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	13	38%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.11	0.02	21	68%	0.30	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.09	0.03	19	67%	0.27	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	9	58%	0.16	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	14	55%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	8	31%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	8	33%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.5	31.3	15.5	23.5	2.4	33.5	132.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +6.7%

MIN +25.7%

MIN +9.9%

MIN +5.9%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	15.3	15.1	110.2	117.2	105.2
season	15.3	14.6		109.0	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.0		104.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.3	13.4	13.7	15.6	13.9
MIN	13.9	16.6	14.0	17.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard James	14	14	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-14	20	12.8	14.1	-1.35	16.8	15.0	1.74
Gal Mekel	32	34	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-18	28	13.6	14.1	-0.51	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Wayne Ellington	26	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-11	14	14.2	13.9	0.29	14.4	15.6	-1.19
DeJuan Blair	42	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-14	20	14.5	13.6	0.90	16.0	14.8	1.29
Jae Crowder	67	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.51	12	-20	32	13.0	16.0	-3.01	16.2	13.5	2.78
Samuel Dalembert	26	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	8	-24	15.6	13.3	2.28	12.7	16.3	-3.55
Shawn Marion	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	4	-16	13.9	14.0	-0.14	15.4	14.9	0.49
Monta Ellis	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	8	-24	14.1	13.3	0.89	15.6	14.3	1.30
Jose Calderon	68	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	6	-20	13.8	14.2	-0.33	15.3	15.2	0.06
Dirk Nowitzki	63	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.05	-19	11	-30	14.2	13.5	0.62	14.8	16.4	-1.65

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	77	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-6	20	15.4	15.1	0.26	14.6	11.8	2.73
Kevin Love	71	70	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-11	30	15.2	15.5	-0.24	14.1	13.6	0.41
Corey Brewer	79	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-5	18	15.0	16.5	-1.51	13.6	15.5	-1.97
Ricky Rubio	73	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-5	18	15.0	16.1	-1.06	13.8	14.4	-0.60
Dante Cunningham	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	8	-8	16.1	14.1	2.04	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Nikola Pekovic	66	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	7	-6	14.9	16.2	-1.29	14.5	12.9	1.60
Jose Juan Barea	33	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	14	-20	15.5	15.2	0.38	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Robbie Hummel	22	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.21	-9	17	-26	15.7	15.2	0.50	14.5	13.8	0.74
Alexey Shved	15	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	13	-18	15.8	15.2	0.60	12.2	14.3	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.67,0.65,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, MIL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.78,0.95,1	92.7%
MIL 86, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.7%
CLE 89, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.7%